Spike bucket
08/15/2026, 3:06:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/15/2026, 3:06:00 A.M. to 08/15/2026, 3:07:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 2,220.79
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 36% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
0.4x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
6
Asset volume
2,220.79 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 2221 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/15/2026, 3:06:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
1,118.76 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
1,102.02 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0045a4a8864FE994Ab900D216C54417872Eb1b49
Net receiver
Unknown type
793.46 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006507708bd044bBDb3d9584f473AEADa42D7D16
Net receiver
Unknown type
721.59 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0067C2DCa158f94a8950cd6bB30B6Bd950F8Ad88
Net receiver
Unknown type
380.43 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
55 tx
8,567.69 QUAI • 66 addresses
08/15/2026, 3:05:43 A.M.
-1 min
58 tx
6,306.59 QUAI • 66 addresses
08/15/2026, 3:04:32 A.M.
+1 min
4 tx
2,220.79 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/15/2026, 3:07:03 A.M.
+2 min
18 tx
11,687.63 QUAI • 30 addresses
08/15/2026, 3:08:22 A.M.
-3 min
8 tx
5,214.89 QUAI • 21 addresses
08/15/2026, 3:03:12 A.M.
-4 min
9 tx
3,406.24 QUAI • 17 addresses
08/15/2026, 3:01:54 A.M.
+4 min
22 tx
19,833.77 QUAI • 36 addresses
08/15/2026, 3:09:41 A.M.
-5 min
Best candidate28 tx
31,749.18 QUAI • 39 addresses
08/15/2026, 3:00:32 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
793.46 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 3:06:27 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0045a4a8864FE994Ab900D216C54417872Eb1b49
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
380.43 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 3:06:27 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0067C2DCa158f94a8950cd6bB30B6Bd950F8Ad88
Tx: 0x007700184db82c8dc4e424547fa12ddad851ea432c7007d244f5c39d0643097a
793.46 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 3:06:27 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0045a4a8864FE994Ab900D216C54417872Eb1b49
Tx: 0x001f0072cbfa3b49fee2355fd78154c224ace981dfb4a0d76979c0f926f81f55
721.59 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 3:06:03 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x006507708bd044bBDb3d9584f473AEADa42D7D16
Tx: 0x005b0055e818477d75c43b23e4bdebf8bbac14f9a97beb9326b64de31981cf2d
325.3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 3:06:03 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0044CC6785AD1166177A3D26cb3CF23122792138
Tx: 0x00310012391ca6764897a6b22e498a3aa4a579d16d8c52850d850278dcace9fa
