Spike bucket
08/15/2026, 3:02:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/15/2026, 3:02:00 A.M. to 08/15/2026, 3:03:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 4,950.59
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 45% of explained volume
Relative context
0.5x above local average
0.2x previous minute
0.9x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
8
Asset volume
4,950.59 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x00625f252d5A4780be2505d35a0Db8648700e94D.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 4951 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x00625f252d5A4780be2505d35a0Db8648700e94D.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/15/2026, 3:02:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
3,299.6 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x00625f252d5A4780be2505d35a0Db8648700e94D
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,230.97 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
1,651 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x00628BF61B02ba4a9b3C5e3C4d13D53Dc70B8038
Net receiver
Unknown type
709.15 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0041647eC31612a3f4406eA99d17bfE1E389C4Ac
Net receiver
Unknown type
683.03 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
9 tx
3,406.24 QUAI • 17 addresses
08/15/2026, 3:01:54 A.M.
-1 min
Best candidate28 tx
31,749.18 QUAI • 39 addresses
08/15/2026, 3:00:32 A.M.
+1 min
8 tx
5,214.89 QUAI • 21 addresses
08/15/2026, 3:03:12 A.M.
-3 min
4 tx
941.77 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/15/2026, 2:59:14 A.M.
+3 min
58 tx
6,306.59 QUAI • 66 addresses
08/15/2026, 3:04:32 A.M.
-4 min
6 tx
13,463.92 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/15/2026, 2:57:55 A.M.
+4 min
55 tx
8,567.69 QUAI • 66 addresses
08/15/2026, 3:05:43 A.M.
-5 min
8 tx
5,366.78 QUAI • 19 addresses
08/15/2026, 2:56:36 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
2,230.97 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 3:02:31 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00625f252d5A4780be2505d35a0Db8648700e94D
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
709.15 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 3:02:54 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00628BF61B02ba4a9b3C5e3C4d13D53Dc70B8038
Tx: 0x002300405a662fdc330d0d2eefff83010068ac809f4d241a28ef434dfe4578fe
661.82 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 3:02:54 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0041C4936720D07A076B902317FB4ac07dd9f5D5
Tx: 0x0026005bad0f2107c41d6995add5ed879e6f2c057955aacfaae68096342bdec2
2,230.97 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 3:02:31 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00625f252d5A4780be2505d35a0Db8648700e94D
Tx: 0x0031005f45c11e10b20b8876e5c7650eb938ebacbea5cbfc314a5a34c7d018d7
683.03 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 3:02:31 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0041647eC31612a3f4406eA99d17bfE1E389C4Ac
Tx: 0x00340001018633da83098c5e09e8713db8a985ec27c7409526a4163a8e21f83b
306.14 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 3:02:09 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0041164B493EABffaa007A24972a145a8D15eE74
Tx: 0x00700067f4c6f66c18f841806af9b362cf387ee83bc3cb361ce7f8427e8d8efb
359.48 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 3:02:09 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00622819C29f0bF9f686e9a9DE0178D2D3D5a613
Tx: 0x00460012740234e01e074c442f553fd48f7b54839531c8746128d829edc3d973