Spike bucket
08/15/2026, 2:55:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/15/2026, 2:55:00 A.M. to 08/15/2026, 2:56:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
89% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 5,366.78
Unexplained QUAI: 666.02
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 29% of explained volume
Relative context
0.4x above local average
1.2x previous minute
1.1x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
8
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
16
Asset volume
6,032.81 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x005687Ce20EFAFc5e053E5a33efAC2b1209264d4.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 6033 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x005687Ce20EFAFc5e053E5a33efAC2b1209264d4.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/15/2026, 2:55:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
4,000.33 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x005687Ce20EFAFc5e053E5a33efAC2b1209264d4
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,563.44 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
1,366.45 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x0054d52a30f89cB614d18B7E7cf450D0fFdBB340
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,001.31 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0037EaF8035A70983425ff150E8DD18706c7AA7d
Net receiver
Unknown type
854.55 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
6 tx
6,032.81 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/15/2026, 2:55:16 A.M.
-1 min
8 tx
4,977.37 QUAI • 18 addresses
08/15/2026, 2:53:57 A.M.
-2 min
12 tx
12,122.84 QUAI • 22 addresses
08/15/2026, 2:52:37 A.M.
+2 min
8 tx
5,366.78 QUAI • 19 addresses
08/15/2026, 2:56:36 A.M.
+3 min
6 tx
13,463.92 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/15/2026, 2:57:55 A.M.
-4 min
Best candidate36 tx
65,541.32 QUAI • 48 addresses
08/15/2026, 2:51:16 A.M.
+4 min
4 tx
941.77 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/15/2026, 2:59:14 A.M.
-5 min
4 tx
2,011.41 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/15/2026, 2:50:05 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,563.44 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 2:55:59 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x005687Ce20EFAFc5e053E5a33efAC2b1209264d4
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
854.55 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 2:55:59 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0037EaF8035A70983425ff150E8DD18706c7AA7d
Tx: 0x00700077315dd3a64a30d9f9e994e877350fb5a5f51492ff13cb6b5ac84d65ea
1,563.44 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 2:55:59 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x005687Ce20EFAFc5e053E5a33efAC2b1209264d4
Tx: 0x004000039614863461ac767428de36e0b9e094fefec3401093669ac0b3e17b57
245.8 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 2:55:46 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0036F1BFd8Bd051fE67e15B44a7A7B086b0A00BD
Tx: 0x007d0047ce56e9d29b9813dcde460cf20a5cd6f885931dd068a46f73b4516430
736.23 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 2:55:46 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00566d3A7733Bca76aa6A7A4648406DcCe35d7D1
Tx: 0x0029007d4ab047e3984806c3c4261458f32bfda3d7c133628e3823b016f9e11b
699.35 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 2:55:30 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0055EeF1DcFad9BAe71F4e24a386219D0d3E948f
Tx: 0x0010006d52c7ba2f9ae1225701deeb27be9564ce289c0dea944cae4102610c5f
219.49 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 2:55:30 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00364843Bf0a53f898a40072C490B2700244c02E
Tx: 0x0026006cc81d8d503ca626d7c7f3b23bbf79baca0ae2b62fcd4322b345010a0e
46.6 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 2:55:19 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0035aA7F2c26655d359283F41eceD4465F0DC941
Tx: 0x007c0000d387846d34f3e5513b47d42139b5aa71f52e5a7fc64986692297b31d
1,001.31 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 2:55:19 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0054d52a30f89cB614d18B7E7cf450D0fFdBB340
Tx: 0x002f00548ca4269e694d0899015ee0932ff326b9d260783cf816930e85dc1106
