Spike bucket
08/15/2026, 2:51:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/15/2026, 2:51:00 A.M. to 08/15/2026, 2:52:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
20% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 13,034.63
Unexplained QUAI: 52,506.69
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 41% of explained volume
Relative context
3.4x above local average
33x previous minute
5.4x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
36
Observable rows
12
33.3% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
48
Asset volume
65,541.32 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x004Bf2F5479D958937fDC59149c69A6d3f3Aac07.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 65541 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 42
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x004Bf2F5479D958937fDC59149c69A6d3f3Aac07.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 12 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/15/2026, 2:51:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (80% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 12 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (20%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
11,008.53 QUAI across 6 visible rows
0x004Bf2F5479D958937fDC59149c69A6d3f3Aac07
Net receiver
Unknown type
5,390 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004bF31105dDb4957562d8FF9ed07460215A20ca
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,253.75 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
2,026.1 QUAI across 6 visible rows
0x004CA0901322E92A7730aea20896f588e1980F63
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,220.92 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate36 tx
65,541.32 QUAI • 48 addresses
08/15/2026, 2:51:16 A.M.
-1 min
4 tx
2,011.41 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/15/2026, 2:50:05 A.M.
-2 min
14 tx
51,437.4 QUAI • 25 addresses
08/15/2026, 2:48:46 A.M.
+2 min
12 tx
12,122.84 QUAI • 22 addresses
08/15/2026, 2:52:37 A.M.
+3 min
8 tx
4,977.37 QUAI • 18 addresses
08/15/2026, 2:53:57 A.M.
-4 min
7 tx
2,910.66 QUAI • 19 addresses
08/15/2026, 2:47:26 A.M.
+4 min
6 tx
6,032.81 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/15/2026, 2:55:16 A.M.
-5 min
9 tx
7,257.38 QUAI • 26 addresses
08/15/2026, 2:46:06 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
5,390 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 2:51:06 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004Bf2F5479D958937fDC59149c69A6d3f3Aac07
All transfers in this selected minute
12 transactions
727.38 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 2:51:56 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004Dd3B0944abF0EA6fCC7264c3b78F0889c683C
Tx: 0x003d004e9d13a22797ff293d4a83e2f3f71c878887fbb9fc39d25e23568399e4
437.89 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 2:51:56 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x002E825b4AC890AD61FdaA2205CF518E501f5deE
Tx: 0x0054003a524d33c11ff10d1a54fc985950aa195992fe0f8c717566cbaaf4a5ea
1,220.92 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 2:51:35 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004CA0901322E92A7730aea20896f588e1980F63
Tx: 0x004800643606b213af04b4704e124df6fffd72b78750ea12efb4a26b7d2c7420
100.83 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 2:51:35 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x002CF5CB1A0F0C6390F4b99B27578D869F3c5A91
Tx: 0x0039006695ccb58363c74fa5cca0de26193dbedbb4eb1eead1f7420d13ff2978
350.39 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 2:51:29 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x002bfBeD2bE886Adf532cA8fd712949375146A0E
Tx: 0x0016001c044d017ca00316412ad6bf0346894504d7a898987ccd1ef08b030ce8
727.93 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 2:51:29 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004c743D3E0B878965Def9Fa7F7A56b7d4E087dA
Tx: 0x000d00587775f323c595514ff6bfef1cb0bd4f0e6905d15874c31bced1e0a7ff
688.55 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 2:51:17 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004c15DF23fC40eAf28a1e79Aa575555177BCc5B
Tx: 0x007c003babcaaf6966090f4071e5a6046e7d6f1417d3b0160c0c93e938798e34
220.47 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 2:51:17 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x002AAB0e61189b063A0293Fa4BbA5FDDC8917fda
Tx: 0x002e0067c729529564e2b5bc9a0d1fdcf82e57bccba54c6d6a16b0c276e5cade
2,253.75 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 2:51:09 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004bF31105dDb4957562d8FF9ed07460215A20ca
Tx: 0x004a00356bed1c9cb9b03d56a03bdca971a440bf98c3a7f586d9804c3d7875ea
784.71 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 2:51:09 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x002946e63Cc11e4CFe70f54bf49f6c1719f97bd4
Tx: 0x0035002dc929f37a12c7d85a8bff9e14bf365a5da86414afec43cab3fc95a26d
5,390 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 2:51:06 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004Bf2F5479D958937fDC59149c69A6d3f3Aac07
Tx: 0x002f004f9e485c52588f15c12e6689651727bd323b7e58a1f8a080b9655fd8cb
131.81 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 2:51:06 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00289CF4F6fEA7E8779cA1c316a844773C07A208
Tx: 0x0048007b17c75828127eabcc20c673312189e48fd046d8cc8eb715a4955151e1
