Spike bucket
08/15/2026, 2:49:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/15/2026, 2:49:00 A.M. to 08/15/2026, 2:50:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 2,011.41
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 46% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
0.7x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
6
Asset volume
2,011.41 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x004991C164Ba903b28B1768a534bC29fc801c00d.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 2011 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x004991C164Ba903b28B1768a534bC29fc801c00d.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/15/2026, 2:49:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
1,149.77 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x004991C164Ba903b28B1768a534bC29fc801c00d
Net receiver
Unknown type
933.04 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
861.65 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0024D122C5CcBAC26c45Db649dC45f1b9E952a89
Net receiver
Unknown type
645.73 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00497bB7e32f778C15BBE53a9eA8Fe043698ac5B
Net receiver
Unknown type
216.73 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
14 tx
51,437.4 QUAI • 25 addresses
08/15/2026, 2:48:46 A.M.
+1 min
4 tx
2,011.41 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/15/2026, 2:50:05 A.M.
-2 min
7 tx
2,910.66 QUAI • 19 addresses
08/15/2026, 2:47:26 A.M.
+2 min
Best candidate36 tx
65,541.32 QUAI • 48 addresses
08/15/2026, 2:51:16 A.M.
-3 min
9 tx
7,257.38 QUAI • 26 addresses
08/15/2026, 2:46:06 A.M.
-4 min
10 tx
7,495.36 QUAI • 22 addresses
08/15/2026, 2:44:46 A.M.
+4 min
12 tx
12,122.84 QUAI • 22 addresses
08/15/2026, 2:52:37 A.M.
+5 min
8 tx
4,977.37 QUAI • 18 addresses
08/15/2026, 2:53:57 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
933.04 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 2:49:50 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004991C164Ba903b28B1768a534bC29fc801c00d
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
645.73 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 2:49:50 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0024D122C5CcBAC26c45Db649dC45f1b9E952a89
Tx: 0x001500056872f7a2ecdb4b3f9e9b137abe590142a08a25c3062fa7c640e6e791
933.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 2:49:50 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004991C164Ba903b28B1768a534bC29fc801c00d
Tx: 0x0070003b847f2960e8e5d90dba676900be2b6514c51a0704ef7f690dcefe24a1
215.91 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 2:49:17 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00247DE74e638091811E9cD995f8690d4821E09C
Tx: 0x0074000cec2001a42a90f65b84eb393417b0ea595adfd50302bf29fe1ea9597c
216.73 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 2:49:17 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00497bB7e32f778C15BBE53a9eA8Fe043698ac5B
Tx: 0x00670020c46b531f6093e21d3e28442440f1561ec91bad1fb73b9b0cb7fc1180