Spike bucket
08/15/2026, 2:48:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/15/2026, 2:48:00 A.M. to 08/15/2026, 2:49:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
88% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 45,470.2
Unexplained QUAI: 5,967.2
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 56% of explained volume
Relative context
2.7x above local average
18x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
14
Observable rows
6
42.9% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
25
Asset volume
51,437.4 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1 • 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + medium confidence + 51437 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 50
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1 • 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/15/2026, 2:48:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is miner pool (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize miner distribution/accumulation checks before mixed-flow hypotheses.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate miner pool context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies miner pool context.
Top actors in this event
K1 Mining pool
Net sender
Miner pool
30,510.56 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
Net receiver
Unknown type
25,603.56 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
8,307.8 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x002378Ed986d936D488B5DD92517Dc3F4966E07F
Net receiver
Unknown type
7,726.2 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
6,651.84 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
7 tx
2,910.66 QUAI • 19 addresses
08/15/2026, 2:47:26 A.M.
+1 min
14 tx
51,437.4 QUAI • 25 addresses
08/15/2026, 2:48:46 A.M.
-2 min
9 tx
7,257.38 QUAI • 26 addresses
08/15/2026, 2:46:06 A.M.
+2 min
4 tx
2,011.41 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/15/2026, 2:50:05 A.M.
-3 min
10 tx
7,495.36 QUAI • 22 addresses
08/15/2026, 2:44:46 A.M.
+3 min
Best candidate36 tx
65,541.32 QUAI • 48 addresses
08/15/2026, 2:51:16 A.M.
-5 min
9 tx
5,530.33 QUAI • 20 addresses
08/15/2026, 2:43:26 A.M.
+5 min
12 tx
12,122.84 QUAI • 22 addresses
08/15/2026, 2:52:37 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
25,603.56 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 2:48:15 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
1,593.64 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 2:48:32 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0048f9049edD6816A471BC46782eF5fC2E6e578F
Tx: 0x0021001d138ea76b658fed62298397945fbf4c3ae6b97657f30de6f7f74d574d
7,726.2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 2:48:32 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x002378Ed986d936D488B5DD92517Dc3F4966E07F
Tx: 0x0000005c578ac1156feb23ad6fbd6a68c7040c79593949e1b29a2c53465bb7b7
5,058.2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 2:48:15 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: Kryptex miner
0x0047F53BAA094B91B662eAf9966267Bab4f560BB
Miner wallet
Tx: 0x0007001c73476aba3b41a30b10dba73ef5ecb980beeda3ddabc8e9a71231745d
581.6 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 2:48:15 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00222320062d091D63Fe7eb51A70D5E691D2Af67
Tx: 0x004800138a56161958ec5151693ade0451ec9a728b5b892f4679edb6d7ea866b
4,907 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 2:48:15 A.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x00153B8570b577Db9F83a4E206f8b8408825Cae4
Tx: 0x006b0014a4721399081808f129e0d90c8e16098953b7cd9bc4da212e526bc7bc
25,603.56 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 2:48:15 A.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
Tx: 0x0030002b7ba38ea6a75d6803140e88523aa11634e3d41411428cfe3fde2da584
