Spike bucket
08/15/2026, 2:43:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/15/2026, 2:43:00 A.M. to 08/15/2026, 2:44:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
28% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,562.78
Unexplained QUAI: 3,967.55
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 42% of explained volume
Relative context
0.5x above local average
0.7x previous minute
0.7x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
9
Observable rows
6
66.7% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
20
Asset volume
5,530.33 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 5530 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 37
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/15/2026, 2:43:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (72% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (28%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
765.83 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
664.36 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x003e6167f7fAF8F2596e03849Ea647889010Af90
Net receiver
Unknown type
655.66 QUAI across 1 visible row
StratumX miner
Net receiver
Miner wallet
411.89 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x0073ddd9467522F7EC4f2f32bd9C47aa5Cd4BC31
Net receiver
Unknown type
252.48 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
9 tx
5,530.33 QUAI • 20 addresses
08/15/2026, 2:43:26 A.M.
-1 min
19 tx
8,365.67 QUAI • 30 addresses
08/15/2026, 2:42:07 A.M.
-2 min
Best candidate25 tx
33,087.14 QUAI • 37 addresses
08/15/2026, 2:40:46 A.M.
+2 min
10 tx
7,495.36 QUAI • 22 addresses
08/15/2026, 2:44:46 A.M.
+3 min
9 tx
7,257.38 QUAI • 26 addresses
08/15/2026, 2:46:06 A.M.
-4 min
12 tx
14,843.12 QUAI • 21 addresses
08/15/2026, 2:39:27 A.M.
+4 min
7 tx
2,910.66 QUAI • 19 addresses
08/15/2026, 2:47:26 A.M.
-5 min
18 tx
17,795.47 QUAI • 27 addresses
08/15/2026, 2:38:07 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
655.66 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 2:43:12 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x003e6167f7fAF8F2596e03849Ea647889010Af90
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
110.17 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 2:43:52 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x003F08D446081727C9324D3A618109CF05AaC075
Tx: 0x001f003cbefd66dd090ec3fdd433c45a68602399d64cac9b1eb69ecc795dbd27
83.56 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 2:43:52 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x0077ee0d516382b2BBBc67A7c29C929fa8BE8B3E
Tx: 0x00140012fe4cf950c4f8bcd6640f438952bb7d1db3278ea508e32acf7eb7cdb5
411.89 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 2:43:52 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: StratumX miner
0x00756Bb5A2b36C03ea4B142BC348664107c09808
Miner wallet
Tx: 0x002f005132f07dfcd596cfa33aae2cb68cf3c3cda01998d65340c486dd97ce6f
655.66 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 2:43:12 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x003e6167f7fAF8F2596e03849Ea647889010Af90
Tx: 0x0013006b05b95678912ee83f9a2bef40078488953c6e80e6b43841c38dea229d
49.02 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 2:43:12 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x0077d5238617c3d334f4519263B4ae0F936A43d4
Tx: 0x005c005be3ddbf5957475446c341d0adcfad3ef97b3ef40016efe4a73542793a
252.48 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 2:43:12 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0073ddd9467522F7EC4f2f32bd9C47aa5Cd4BC31
Tx: 0x0012005f333a22742adb05a0d9e445750ae86cb738da9985b8558506dd78b4a2
