Spike bucket
08/15/2026, 2:29:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/15/2026, 2:29:00 A.M. to 08/15/2026, 2:30:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 2,461.28
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 50% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
1.0x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
9
Asset volume
2,461.28 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x00239812dAd1583Bf5C81326E3448F273f6628f2.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 2461 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x00239812dAd1583Bf5C81326E3448F273f6628f2.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/15/2026, 2:29:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
1,294.53 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00239812dAd1583Bf5C81326E3448F273f6628f2
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,238.23 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
1,031.37 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x005a0701d5111De546C5614A04C8eA96EB2CCA0D
Net receiver
Unknown type
989.87 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
Net sender
Unknown type
135.37 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
18 tx
8,594.44 QUAI • 28 addresses
08/15/2026, 2:28:50 A.M.
-1 min
9 tx
2,552.66 QUAI • 21 addresses
08/15/2026, 2:27:31 A.M.
+1 min
6 tx
2,461.28 QUAI • 18 addresses
08/15/2026, 2:30:10 A.M.
+2 min
12 tx
4,213.11 QUAI • 21 addresses
08/15/2026, 2:31:29 A.M.
-3 min
12 tx
4,078.19 QUAI • 23 addresses
08/15/2026, 2:26:11 A.M.
-4 min
Best candidate27 tx
32,012.05 QUAI • 36 addresses
08/15/2026, 2:24:52 A.M.
+4 min
26 tx
19,283.16 QUAI • 39 addresses
08/15/2026, 2:32:48 A.M.
-5 min
9 tx
6,857.5 QUAI • 21 addresses
08/15/2026, 2:23:31 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,238.23 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 2:29:57 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00239812dAd1583Bf5C81326E3448F273f6628f2
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
989.87 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 2:29:57 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x005a0701d5111De546C5614A04C8eA96EB2CCA0D
Tx: 0x002c00393347906858fcf2093308522702d5c079722eb94e7334ce9ec1c06d7e
1,238.23 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 2:29:57 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00239812dAd1583Bf5C81326E3448F273f6628f2
Tx: 0x0000000c6651cb60f43061b19cbfd658e87c18b926c7debd8b546c496d52ab13
42.26 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 2:29:57 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x0039460BA8AC0161a54F8938e02B34A2e9EbdD9a
Tx: 0x00760043b10ace782353e25d71b1b957729c6972980928ac3aff2bb483b11d56
93.12 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 2:29:47 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x003835340Da62C918332E647508144EFb394e4c1
Tx: 0x0042004bee8cd04c6b5aef66dc411b7a81a2d3546ffa3c41d094d519b2f1ecdb
41.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 2:29:47 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00583026Fe8289b7464fe5E04F442f686c33ef2A
Tx: 0x004800514a82955744d1edfee4e1e354187a7987d9983d230bd915cd9ef5d0ba
56.3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 2:29:47 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0023017E35176D093A766f758b30EE21ccc3d153
Tx: 0x00330060d4e60928bc260595bdd48fc0708bb470fe21a6863fdd30e48fb30385