Spike bucket
08/15/2026, 2:25:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/15/2026, 2:25:00 A.M. to 08/15/2026, 2:26:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 4,078.19
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 29% of explained volume
Relative context
0.5x above local average
0.6x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
12
Observable rows
12
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
15
Asset volume
4,078.19 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x001759a542E45ec8045aB5dA6CB3a2F1B11B7D60.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 4078 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x001759a542E45ec8045aB5dA6CB3a2F1B11B7D60.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 12 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/15/2026, 2:25:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 12 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
2,614.49 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x001759a542E45ec8045aB5dA6CB3a2F1B11B7D60
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,173.14 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
816.15 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
Net sender
Unknown type
647.55 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x001C4b140059947845c3f2c96fbdccA4c67CD2FB
Net receiver
Unknown type
608.71 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate27 tx
32,012.05 QUAI • 36 addresses
08/15/2026, 2:24:52 A.M.
-1 min
9 tx
6,857.5 QUAI • 21 addresses
08/15/2026, 2:23:31 A.M.
+1 min
12 tx
4,078.19 QUAI • 23 addresses
08/15/2026, 2:26:11 A.M.
-3 min
12 tx
11,373.69 QUAI • 22 addresses
08/15/2026, 2:22:11 A.M.
+3 min
9 tx
2,552.66 QUAI • 21 addresses
08/15/2026, 2:27:31 A.M.
-4 min
9 tx
2,778.91 QUAI • 19 addresses
08/15/2026, 2:20:52 A.M.
+4 min
18 tx
8,594.44 QUAI • 28 addresses
08/15/2026, 2:28:50 A.M.
-5 min
6 tx
3,711.8 QUAI • 18 addresses
08/15/2026, 2:19:32 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,173.14 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 2:25:12 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x001759a542E45ec8045aB5dA6CB3a2F1B11B7D60
All transfers in this selected minute
12 transactions
242.61 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 2:25:54 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x001A03928b4eC613Be64796727C3a13704162416
Tx: 0x005d002ea4785f4298688d177b79b7178ead70ade2996b8c5300c466f1f03d4a
608.71 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 2:25:54 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x001C4b140059947845c3f2c96fbdccA4c67CD2FB
Tx: 0x00430053686ab29b19868991d2e3a67886046987f32dd8306845094c1bdec384
90.11 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 2:25:54 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x002736E210a59eF5Cd41c8dF464604364902e90D
Tx: 0x0015001d90bc23238790a5921d15de1ab87b13e3863cf839994c2f132a9136ef
260.2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 2:25:38 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x001bF75Ff70E9e14c0d8e59f260986DD82b56166
Tx: 0x000a0069d853d5cb78cea67c795fc494cfac3dbc1645718d5f96dece1543432f
206.97 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 2:25:38 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x0026310f1963Bf08EaD7028ad5A4533AC987A38B
Tx: 0x0008006ed24eeccae61ee4ef81b647df205e576f09e3589d895c1eb0944ac244
411.23 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 2:25:38 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0017e043bC29e32850Bf62db9A38E53A989708d7
Tx: 0x000f007a6a4546d935a158fb6b788184214e23fd9b1a63bf99cf9a33e1cb32d2
39.58 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 2:25:26 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0017bE394941A14825D130Aac4B9bd6C80329992
Tx: 0x0046004922e58ea4edc7ea87086f1bfbf276d5436ca5e4c4efd5e2f36bedf164
239.26 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 2:25:26 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x0025E8476A4d9B0a14A490d982899384F3e42437
Tx: 0x0074006b4fb3311e08b47902f2b842ceb9336ce6d249a868c9d26c7973a3be3d
572.44 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 2:25:26 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0018e45de2522b2806B9ac345ab81F4cDD8B7693
Tx: 0x000e0060f214d03ed9982e6cd783d5ad260481d72944be9ddf34ea8f0959167f
111.22 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 2:25:12 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x0024D122C5CcBAC26c45Db649dC45f1b9E952a89
Tx: 0x00320067a5732e4ac98defa34d8654962224279d43f1920b452b2a5d64f0a929
122.73 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 2:25:12 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0017438536777eC422ebc63AB1d7095B2e53E140
Tx: 0x0044004cab7fc87232d9df996877b89b464c19c8dde084f797056bb44f7fd66e
1,173.14 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 2:25:12 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x001759a542E45ec8045aB5dA6CB3a2F1B11B7D60
Tx: 0x001c004d3bb0fbcd34ff172f13406095f7b9ed1649a86dbe8d56f66fe1839032