Spike bucket
08/15/2026, 2:20:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/15/2026, 2:20:00 A.M. to 08/15/2026, 2:21:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 5,064.49
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 58% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
0.2x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
9
Observable rows
9
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
19
Asset volume
2,778.91 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x000Fb0eC6B6bb287A9653D02d6ce209ace7F8a40.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 2779 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x000Fb0eC6B6bb287A9653D02d6ce209ace7F8a40.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/15/2026, 2:20:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
3,835.43 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x000Fb0eC6B6bb287A9653D02d6ce209ace7F8a40
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,940.48 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
828.41 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x000f199409379202d1F55Ca5ce1442D80c698156
Net receiver
Unknown type
597.4 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000BBa62497b778FAd623f3C5c73B28B9e305F93
Net receiver
Unknown type
461.43 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
6 tx
3,711.8 QUAI • 18 addresses
08/15/2026, 2:19:32 A.M.
+1 min
9 tx
2,778.91 QUAI • 19 addresses
08/15/2026, 2:20:52 A.M.
-2 min
9 tx
11,659.97 QUAI • 19 addresses
08/15/2026, 2:18:13 A.M.
+2 min
12 tx
11,373.69 QUAI • 22 addresses
08/15/2026, 2:22:11 A.M.
-3 min
9 tx
9,415.42 QUAI • 18 addresses
08/15/2026, 2:16:54 A.M.
-4 min
15 tx
16,533.26 QUAI • 28 addresses
08/15/2026, 2:15:35 A.M.
+4 min
9 tx
6,857.5 QUAI • 21 addresses
08/15/2026, 2:23:31 A.M.
+5 min
Best candidate27 tx
32,012.05 QUAI • 36 addresses
08/15/2026, 2:24:52 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
2,940.48 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 2:20:48 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x000Fb0eC6B6bb287A9653D02d6ce209ace7F8a40
All transfers in this selected minute
9 transactions
57.1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 2:20:48 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x000d0c11B58e7EC222F200e47C974dc2a574B25b
Tx: 0x00790002159fb081fb608cefc4433eb0be2936f4fc403d7dba20cbabe5278a5e
2,940.48 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 2:20:48 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x000Fb0eC6B6bb287A9653D02d6ce209ace7F8a40
Tx: 0x0020006acc9dfd6d1b9dd5273f613bf8ec4e498be40a8b9ac6f60d6e0691269e
175.63 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 2:20:48 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x0015EB5d588Dc47726Ff8E643eB7380527b77069
Tx: 0x00710000df56ffa973be04b518b197db451dc4e92ff6e2f3852e491cd54aacb2
597.4 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 2:20:26 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x000f199409379202d1F55Ca5ce1442D80c698156
Tx: 0x0048004890dd831faacaeb26e0a3a8241ca7bf4ad6db611097da53fea104efae
105.63 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 2:20:26 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x00134d83cDb40d6CbEbAd441729BF1C9D7B98FF5
Tx: 0x0006002c537bc96bfc4f8ccd8ada2dc2f43c445104e3d30616be0cee8096d447
309.88 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 2:20:26 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x000C98f8B3680A25CdBD4F5d0aF59b9fd0b83026
Tx: 0x0009006c99194c414d904b4f0339bf0f0bbdeb7ba6a199c325cc9d0e4ef43fff
461.43 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 2:20:15 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x000BBa62497b778FAd623f3C5c73B28B9e305F93
Tx: 0x000f006c9460eb4440b447f4ae480b4e51e234ada906a662454b275edbadebeb
119.38 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 2:20:15 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x00108E95e48EDa116826bd70039F9c48690b10BB
Tx: 0x0018005b093b38936f2960d33d42296573bf3f74c90829f5c1fc68a340e5aa91
297.56 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 2:20:15 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x000e8704A804059C06b693799e1b8cee7DA78161
Tx: 0x001c00573d613bb441d465ee475ed3a099052e283535aee123d8454486f38d15
