Spike bucket
08/15/2026, 2:16:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/15/2026, 2:16:00 A.M. to 08/15/2026, 2:17:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
14% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,280.7
Unexplained QUAI: 8,134.71
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 64% of explained volume
Relative context
1.7x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
9
Observable rows
3
33.3% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
9,415.42 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00056f3CDE0d646b12E7e38122fEbcC884E8d0c5.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 9415 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 37
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00056f3CDE0d646b12E7e38122fEbcC884E8d0c5.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/15/2026, 2:16:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (86% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (14%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
814.31 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00056f3CDE0d646b12E7e38122fEbcC884E8d0c5
Net receiver
Unknown type
814.31 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
417.18 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00056b626466951B976d6fE839c3C013E6004c0f
Net receiver
Unknown type
417.18 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
Net sender
Unknown type
49.21 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate15 tx
16,533.26 QUAI • 28 addresses
08/15/2026, 2:15:35 A.M.
+1 min
9 tx
9,415.42 QUAI • 18 addresses
08/15/2026, 2:16:54 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/15/2026, 2:14:16 A.M.
+2 min
9 tx
11,659.97 QUAI • 19 addresses
08/15/2026, 2:18:13 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/15/2026, 2:12:55 A.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/15/2026, 2:11:37 A.M.
+4 min
6 tx
3,711.8 QUAI • 18 addresses
08/15/2026, 2:19:32 A.M.
+5 min
9 tx
2,778.91 QUAI • 19 addresses
08/15/2026, 2:20:52 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
814.31 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 2:16:20 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00056f3CDE0d646b12E7e38122fEbcC884E8d0c5
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
49.21 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 2:16:20 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x000A33544feAEDCFB71a122927a5Fe3D2B7E8B87
Tx: 0x003d002eb01a4b17c9c8c724ca519a1faa44be100d48fa188251c9f7aba54eb3
417.18 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 2:16:20 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00056b626466951B976d6fE839c3C013E6004c0f
Tx: 0x007100449b5e991162a2bf77576eccf2cd883f23a08f5a620586a063726cf825
814.31 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 2:16:20 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00056f3CDE0d646b12E7e38122fEbcC884E8d0c5
Tx: 0x002700492a9cb74d21db9c921054d22195049add34ebc556c8f5a93995ab698a