Spike bucket
08/15/2026, 2:04:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/15/2026, 2:04:00 A.M. to 08/15/2026, 2:05:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 949.34
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 46% of explained volume
Relative context
1.8x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
7
Observable rows
7
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
9
Asset volume
949.34 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x00153427831C607E490D6c1B064dF6a41AcA8566.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 949 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x00153427831C607E490D6c1B064dF6a41AcA8566.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/15/2026, 2:04:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
851.37 QUAI across 5 visible rows
Known watch context
0x00153427831C607E490D6c1B064dF6a41AcA8566
Net sender
Unknown type
438 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0064Fbd982e770771641bb82F5961e900E3Bda88
Net sender
Unknown type
108.78 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00515189167FA8989c7E7930A3F2E464Db049fFc
Net sender
Unknown type
103.65 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00207ff1171b4889763af8cc79472d0dA9907FC9
Net sender
Unknown type
100.69 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 851.37 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
50 tx
1,307.54 QUAI • 60 addresses
08/15/2026, 2:03:53 A.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/15/2026, 2:02:31 A.M.
+1 min
7 tx
949.34 QUAI • 22 addresses
08/15/2026, 2:05:12 A.M.
+2 min
Best candidate50 tx
1,435.49 QUAI • 58 addresses
08/15/2026, 2:06:23 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 7 addresses
08/15/2026, 2:01:12 A.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/15/2026, 1:59:54 A.M.
+4 min
10 tx
455.59 QUAI • 23 addresses
08/15/2026, 2:07:42 A.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/15/2026, 1:58:35 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
438 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 2:04:52 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00153427831C607E490D6c1B064dF6a41AcA8566
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
23.7 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 2:04:52 A.M.
From: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
To: 0x0072CC14Cf0F186e4D39bdcEc0056b736Da79B23
Tx: 0x004a004bbf659e9f63a885e1223fee87106ab119b658ac31894f362d63aa6eb6
100.24 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 2:04:52 A.M.
From: 0x00013a286CCE4d2D5C5b47A313977bb5B981A30b
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0041001a630ac4bd3f693d76768ab58b97774ace84eb0025ddcb380f4c8c4dd8
108.78 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 2:04:52 A.M.
From: 0x0064Fbd982e770771641bb82F5961e900E3Bda88
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005500001672fe7ec4558f1fecbcf91b791dbc60490c480879815ccc3acca005
438 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 2:04:52 A.M.
From: 0x00153427831C607E490D6c1B064dF6a41AcA8566
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004600155bca5000fba799a4ad4a1e97043f4c54f1da768420aefca031291ce3
103.65 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 2:04:52 A.M.
From: 0x00515189167FA8989c7E7930A3F2E464Db049fFc
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0076001f3a93dd0a17f6be7280a3da9ccf882a488dcd2804bc3c05772c9db8dd
100.69 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 2:04:52 A.M.
From: 0x00207ff1171b4889763af8cc79472d0dA9907FC9
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0061002cc7b7d8aeffb400192cf9cbf951671b85fc3f17255779c8a2dda27352
74.28 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 2:04:41 A.M.
From: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
To: 0x00427b38053EE7aFF320dEa9a0B9CC5fA4cDEB5C
Tx: 0x007b007773fbccee5a02ca33d9dbf6fc91ca3938e0040e6e78721daa73cba619