Spike bucket
08/15/2026, 12:07:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/15/2026, 12:07:00 A.M. to 08/15/2026, 12:08:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 997.02
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 28% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
0.0x previous minute
0.0x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
17
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
14
Asset volume
40.76 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x0001ec798D9186b010De72732d4Cf04E594D9d52.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 41 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x0001ec798D9186b010De72732d4Cf04E594D9d52.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 17 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/15/2026, 12:07:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 17 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
Net sender
Unknown type
979.44 QUAI across 16 visible rows
0x0001ec798D9186b010De72732d4Cf04E594D9d52
Net receiver
Unknown type
282.93 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Net receiver
Unknown type
178.35 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0052d26C6706DA740b7F09DB43479142513a4B37
Net receiver
Unknown type
166.51 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15
Net receiver
Unknown type
166.3 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
40.76 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/15/2026, 12:07:21 A.M.
-1 min
50 tx
1,253.69 QUAI • 60 addresses
08/15/2026, 12:06:02 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
08/15/2026, 12:04:43 A.M.
+2 min
16 tx
979.44 QUAI • 26 addresses
08/15/2026, 12:08:43 A.M.
+3 min
3 tx
515.12 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/15/2026, 12:10:02 A.M.
-4 min
Best candidate50 tx
1,925.59 QUAI • 63 addresses
08/15/2026, 12:03:24 A.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/15/2026, 12:11:22 A.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/15/2026, 12:02:12 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
282.93 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 12:07:13 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0001ec798D9186b010De72732d4Cf04E594D9d52
All transfers in this selected minute
17 transactions
5.54 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 12:07:13 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0035b871d1C6CAA446c24E945CA576F9184ccc66
Tx: 0x0062001c775edabe5a455726115cc266cfe293c5ae0b74dec516dbbf351a9496
166.51 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 12:07:13 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0052d26C6706DA740b7F09DB43479142513a4B37
Tx: 0x006d0055574a0a74d17ac0568e9e2e61ddc9c30ae4b2111df91d259c72725da1
166.3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 12:07:13 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15
Tx: 0x0070007590690690fa3149cfff6384f293b4efcbffaa16cf1202aef86f63fd90
5.81 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 12:07:13 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00189e3467216c936DdE87AC1e18d2eD62794322
Tx: 0x000e005a19f82366e554bd1c3669d74fbb5c50f8bb64b95f8aaf99c31723ba64
6.85 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 12:07:13 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0008E77A0dD7DF694769928733B983D84426Ff02
Tx: 0x005000585eee2a0e86dc982e886a2cfc0742f55176585512a4d9e2ad1645660c
36.22 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 12:07:13 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF
Tx: 0x00700001e432ca15d6eff9d7d6b5e4d9186580bbd44c0e2127feddd34e0b6632
6.96 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 12:07:13 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0029D74BFeacE23C9a500D8D952483B66d36e78e
Tx: 0x00790024e4d29d8efe97359c411cc4e239b3064a5db7eda67226af2533566f38
40.54 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 12:07:13 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x006802f8f8f4cd2768C72f5680414a9f1f5b5a75
Tx: 0x006c0036af1cc75bbf7cbfbb9c430e70339dc6b07bb2df101435ab4dde2f0574
282.93 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 12:07:13 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0001ec798D9186b010De72732d4Cf04E594D9d52
Tx: 0x00020053951d456c2dc06477f318d25f9e64e55a2a8e505d172174450684d435
9.64 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 12:07:13 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0012BF2C8A60ac40572824fD2F575e7CAAE7af95
Tx: 0x0001001674327d1f3fe162d488712af7315245d650193dec768915c50eb035a5
9.8 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 12:07:13 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x004d27296eA9C630Ae2ebb84071575Bf1fF919d6
Tx: 0x00750070474518ab4f58d3a5da910a84636dd0097faaeca555a3d2f31f2c9191
15.18 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 12:07:13 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00095148E36DA3ca00ADc55DE9a8AF7c0Bc01bd3
Tx: 0x007b007324b627ae361b18226dbd2661e3bf49ab49afb00e5f2a6c497ef85440
35.45 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 12:07:13 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x007F95f6B1De175cf3ab31eDD47C98CC5dDB3cC4
Tx: 0x0042002801b3b35a2a4060f622c78eb6e50d5be14031934f58f0d2867a6854d4
5.45 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 12:07:13 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x003c82ECb4b9D3756F2cd7484713a5F4B0CA16bC
Tx: 0x001f001472c5288db296dee869a75d15ecef70e03f3f943ca0470f521fd667fc
178.35 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 12:07:13 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Tx: 0x0037002d67fcad68c2f1b709d5950a795fdee4d199aaec550d126fbe3d40eaf7
7.91 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 12:07:13 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00536c5c3BF90B1E899871208eC62D33250A841e
Tx: 0x0015000a174d29b2f9e125fafbc12c734efe6190b44d62897706f969f9bb4f49
17.57 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 12:07:00 A.M.
From: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
To: 0x003F4B94b4217B024e75778fef5c254B08552696
Tx: 0x0016006ba5f31b95f100c28637040e0730273065aa46c2acd8b04a03dd0b2056
