Spike bucket
08/14/2026, 11:04:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/14/2026, 11:04:00 P.M. to 08/14/2026, 11:05:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 23,563.46
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 98% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
0.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
50
Observable rows
6
12.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
60
Asset volume
570.06 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0010dC8eb87AF4AC2FBcEba023af11b83de4e243.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + medium confidence + 570 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 53
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0010dC8eb87AF4AC2FBcEba023af11b83de4e243.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/14/2026, 11:04:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
23,366.27 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0010dC8eb87AF4AC2FBcEba023af11b83de4e243
Net sender
Unknown type
23,148.35 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
Net sender
Unknown type
197.19 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x00477ad3f237A822228bA4aE075849781895c8B5
Net sender
Unknown type
114.41 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001a12A2e9796dE43550dD019be23cbfeC83A27E
Net receiver
Unknown type
107.93 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 23,366.27 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
50 tx
570.06 QUAI • 60 addresses
08/14/2026, 11:04:17 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/14/2026, 11:03:06 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/14/2026, 11:01:55 P.M.
+2 min
Best candidate56 tx
25,644.88 QUAI • 71 addresses
08/14/2026, 11:05:30 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
23,148.67 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/14/2026, 11:00:45 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/14/2026, 11:06:41 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
179.76 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/14/2026, 10:59:34 P.M.
+4 min
12 tx
576.77 QUAI • 23 addresses
08/14/2026, 11:07:52 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
23,148.35 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/14/2026, 11:04:33 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0010dC8eb87AF4AC2FBcEba023af11b83de4e243
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
20.43 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/14/2026, 11:04:54 P.M.
From: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
To: 0x0072CC14Cf0F186e4D39bdcEc0056b736Da79B23
Tx: 0x003b0015962df4b0db3734943ee5d0f47efc38e61e772b52bfbdb29bfba67c39
68.83 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/14/2026, 11:04:45 P.M.
From: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
To: 0x000Bd4a1F1184E4ad0e656f6db0Fc37916780491
Tx: 0x005f007cd5dd9dce54729bdca2baf572409b62fef7d55cc5bfdc881cc8c1ee13
107.93 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/14/2026, 11:04:33 P.M.
From: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
To: 0x001a12A2e9796dE43550dD019be23cbfeC83A27E
Tx: 0x001d00180f1cfa32d250cfc20cf1a85bc4593f0bab638f8be2a3202d13163e1a
103.51 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/14/2026, 11:04:33 P.M.
From: 0x0072DF620c41F7aBD07F7fceC52feb044e3D4d62
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x007b007cf3f91d5fca1defa38cc804dab31698c046a47e1833ebf80a5314d6e7
23,148.35 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/14/2026, 11:04:33 P.M.
From: 0x0010dC8eb87AF4AC2FBcEba023af11b83de4e243
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x000e0023b6d5562a1ec98b8b84f832c1f441e16eebc9027424485e2ec35229b6
114.41 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/14/2026, 11:04:33 P.M.
From: 0x00477ad3f237A822228bA4aE075849781895c8B5
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0012001290eb89c8a422e5b72e26e62c99ffc8e8a1df7b3a7005c16fa32c71fe
