Spike bucket
08/14/2026, 7:11:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/14/2026, 7:11:00 P.M. to 08/14/2026, 7:12:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
51% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 864.62
Unexplained QUAI: 844.53
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 23% of explained volume
Relative context
3.0x above local average
2.0x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
7
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
9
Asset volume
1,709.14 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x005b02a40e1057E2C355B911405c9c67e7810794.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 1709 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x005b02a40e1057E2C355B911405c9c67e7810794.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 08/14/2026, 7:11:00 P.M.
Coverage gap moderate (49% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (51%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
864.62 QUAI across 7 visible rows
Known watch context
0x005b02a40e1057E2C355B911405c9c67e7810794
Net sender
Unknown type
200.2 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001D34B2650bb2D1716dd1eE877115375C540EbB
Net sender
Unknown type
128.03 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF
Net sender
Unknown type
124.77 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000d41f12BDC966B133AbDe47Ac1d733Cbbcaf10
Net sender
Unknown type
105.69 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 864.62 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate1 tx
1,709.14 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/14/2026, 7:11:01 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 7 addresses
08/14/2026, 7:09:42 P.M.
+1 min
7 tx
864.62 QUAI • 18 addresses
08/14/2026, 7:12:20 P.M.
-3 min
8 tx
669.98 QUAI • 21 addresses
08/14/2026, 7:08:23 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/14/2026, 7:13:41 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/14/2026, 7:07:05 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/14/2026, 7:15:00 P.M.
-5 min
50 tx
1,274.35 QUAI • 60 addresses
08/14/2026, 7:05:46 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
200.2 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/14/2026, 7:11:22 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x005b02a40e1057E2C355B911405c9c67e7810794
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
102.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/14/2026, 7:11:22 P.M.
From: 0x007484C238Ec72386d0Bf94fB09F6F4Ea0296f7c
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x007c0070d0a1fcd9c1f8da224573ded9104f25f2ea0482be709aaafdce098129
128.03 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/14/2026, 7:11:22 P.M.
From: 0x001D34B2650bb2D1716dd1eE877115375C540EbB
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005b0002ed25e2b0010a03f8deae90ca54ce2ab35ec6a6e4ecee4c05474186cd
102.3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/14/2026, 7:11:22 P.M.
From: 0x003Bf2Af543544F1415deA8149d24bF90C23b8b4
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00540055e03c468ceec65a98bb9254894dcf6b5501703777230e8275196c3443
105.69 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/14/2026, 7:11:22 P.M.
From: 0x000d41f12BDC966B133AbDe47Ac1d733Cbbcaf10
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x003000766a61f4ea81893baae64e2b921cf34e9f71b41df7d926cee5fddf4cce
101.13 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/14/2026, 7:11:22 P.M.
From: 0x005E8fC2D987eab31887d75650ccbD041A88Dc7b
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001a007a65db34f944980f68612a468c9c1a8cb93a911302d5ebe07eccde6034
124.77 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/14/2026, 7:11:22 P.M.
From: 0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x000b001ed6ac1fc8bf62b73fabb30837efa5ae6d4a287892fe3bea5323bc4808
200.2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/14/2026, 7:11:22 P.M.
From: 0x005b02a40e1057E2C355B911405c9c67e7810794
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002e007622389554c0f29f872fad7272726934b5e11e3d30ac3623fdbf060c06