Spike bucket
08/14/2026, 5:07:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/14/2026, 5:07:00 P.M. to 08/14/2026, 5:08:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 2,170.03
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 58% of explained volume
Relative context
2.1x above local average
0.5x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
18
Observable rows
18
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
20
Asset volume
2,170.03 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002957DEd54dE17508b179993989978e448690cD • 0x0045daE9Dd12Fc5783aa8728075F212d63271C66.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 2170 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002957DEd54dE17508b179993989978e448690cD • 0x0045daE9Dd12Fc5783aa8728075F212d63271C66.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 18 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/14/2026, 5:07:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 18 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002957DEd54dE17508b179993989978e448690cD
Net sender
Unknown type
1,259 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0045daE9Dd12Fc5783aa8728075F212d63271C66
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,259 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
Net sender
Unknown type
911.03 QUAI across 17 visible rows
0x0001ec798D9186b010De72732d4Cf04E594D9d52
Net receiver
Unknown type
245.71 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Net receiver
Unknown type
208.42 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/14/2026, 5:06:45 P.M.
+1 min
18 tx
2,170.03 QUAI • 30 addresses
08/14/2026, 5:08:06 P.M.
-2 min
Best candidate52 tx
3,998.18 QUAI • 65 addresses
08/14/2026, 5:05:26 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
13.58 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/14/2026, 5:09:25 P.M.
-3 min
52 tx
2,056.01 QUAI • 63 addresses
08/14/2026, 5:04:14 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/14/2026, 5:02:54 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 6 addresses
08/14/2026, 5:10:43 P.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/14/2026, 5:01:34 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,259 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/14/2026, 5:07:49 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002957DEd54dE17508b179993989978e448690cD
To: 0x0045daE9Dd12Fc5783aa8728075F212d63271C66
All transfers in this selected minute
18 transactions
1,259 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/14/2026, 5:07:49 P.M.
From: 0x002957DEd54dE17508b179993989978e448690cD
To: 0x0045daE9Dd12Fc5783aa8728075F212d63271C66
Tx: 0x00160070c8d41c3788418cb66fede44a4f073f2639e6e05574102386481471c5
245.71 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/14/2026, 5:07:02 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0001ec798D9186b010De72732d4Cf04E594D9d52
Tx: 0x000f00156d9245c8575f9676804f68c8d85818278299472a2b1a5b4b96da9f06
5.3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/14/2026, 5:07:02 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x006d14928B63B598eC3B15bc7F10010Ad7EC31F7
Tx: 0x005e0048408e7ddd3ec2c2789a19dadc2ef1aa9b7899dcbd3d42f97d3c0cef89
9.68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/14/2026, 5:07:02 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00042ebf5e2dabBb79A67343711A89B76c7D1c49
Tx: 0x007100503d6f012d9f8a2c0ef92bfccaf1ef79cd2353cb8dd6684af891dc4e45
10.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/14/2026, 5:07:02 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00095148E36DA3ca00ADc55DE9a8AF7c0Bc01bd3
Tx: 0x005d000374b06b4eed86c5344a92ac8dcad43faf70d36fb2e342a1d3cfb3f923
5.42 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/14/2026, 5:07:02 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x005182a1cAa86CB99209A4Ba3B3239971BEEA866
Tx: 0x0056003b1cbff6a3c5672c8ec051eb0536726983a73e8585f22b6958bb0a3c0a
5.91 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/14/2026, 5:07:02 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x006F95Ab5693D0d02287f10eeDb1E0F1D5C66320
Tx: 0x005500366853f5987aada6ba4a5cc41f67344418e1d763c05365aee02b6ca39d
35.66 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/14/2026, 5:07:02 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF
Tx: 0x001d00213ad3bfa59a43a3fee341a930e644b9a85a80500a92d7e843a56c0dc4
12.29 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/14/2026, 5:07:02 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0030160076D0a37f5d411369C84B674B6A69c45d
Tx: 0x0020004c494d2d9d39bfd0e92c3f7143997a0980a0656918deeb82e79fc8f0b4
4.61 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/14/2026, 5:07:02 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0009872c2ba931482d4EE8041365832E020807C2
Tx: 0x002a0009fe503408513a75a265588bf0fb374f777cea7806a2aedd1c71537cc6
5.96 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/14/2026, 5:07:02 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0012BF2C8A60ac40572824fD2F575e7CAAE7af95
Tx: 0x004600558733a896953b2aac3fd644ba5d2c1894ae10b0c320052dc9937cd435
9.66 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/14/2026, 5:07:02 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x005eF5d5DC3ebF571BFAe01D957034dBE629A8E7
Tx: 0x0061005c84672600a4214962d492710ab1974b13947d558d826ffebfbe0624f3
6.67 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/14/2026, 5:07:02 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0008E77A0dD7DF694769928733B983D84426Ff02
Tx: 0x003c000f93378fdb89a1d11787be9098fcdf418b2daec0342fc98db3fe8ecb49
177.85 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/14/2026, 5:07:02 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15
Tx: 0x00590064bc52d1fbdfcadac3daa3ff74b60766ea7cbdc97d59268413c4af7e2f
5.78 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/14/2026, 5:07:02 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00536c5c3BF90B1E899871208eC62D33250A841e
Tx: 0x0001007e9256d035807b2e48f00de4cc8a9ed61244af4ea8ef908d7ab66b8400
208.42 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/14/2026, 5:07:02 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Tx: 0x00320051265c7e48264406d6bb47719c67a58cedd498fd83f5d6b3a152b9ff78
152.54 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/14/2026, 5:07:02 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0052d26C6706DA740b7F09DB43479142513a4B37
Tx: 0x00020062d5d3f6b7cd9014b99204ba7126ae58d358fc393dea8e9c9ef8d7d9f3
9.07 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/14/2026, 5:07:02 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x003c82ECb4b9D3756F2cd7484713a5F4B0CA16bC
Tx: 0x0001000d0e6506330f5a5301b4f1634e052692ceb998dece510202a1837d2213
