Spike bucket
08/14/2026, 3:27:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/14/2026, 3:27:00 P.M. to 08/14/2026, 3:28:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
36% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 2,726.77
Unexplained QUAI: 4,794.7
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 11% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
0.3x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
23
Observable rows
9
39.1% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
36
Asset volume
7,521.48 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x0014e8b32A212DF7ae5543F0B95bb6ae6dE24809.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 7521 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 27
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x0014e8b32A212DF7ae5543F0B95bb6ae6dE24809.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/14/2026, 3:27:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (64% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (36%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
Gate.io hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
2,726.77 QUAI across 9 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0014e8b32A212DF7ae5543F0B95bb6ae6dE24809
Net sender
Unknown type
312.04 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00501A00fcAf8e30f4FeDe0C0d8035655d94471A
Net sender
Unknown type
306.08 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004077c3AA1C17eFF24ae846B72c3D9C83927134
Net sender
Unknown type
305.43 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0063C504CD47Cc115338f4130026576471a3F4B3
Net sender
Unknown type
304.23 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 2,726.77 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
21 tx
27,844.59 QUAI • 34 addresses
08/14/2026, 3:26:35 P.M.
+1 min
23 tx
7,521.48 QUAI • 36 addresses
08/14/2026, 3:27:56 P.M.
-2 min
38 tx
22,357.88 QUAI • 49 addresses
08/14/2026, 3:25:13 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/14/2026, 3:29:17 P.M.
-3 min
25 tx
30,196.03 QUAI • 38 addresses
08/14/2026, 3:24:00 P.M.
-4 min
Best candidate21 tx
316,209.83 QUAI • 32 addresses
08/14/2026, 3:22:39 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/14/2026, 3:30:36 P.M.
+5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 7 addresses
08/14/2026, 3:31:55 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
312.04 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/14/2026, 3:27:14 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0014e8b32A212DF7ae5543F0B95bb6ae6dE24809
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
9 transactions
305.43 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/14/2026, 3:27:14 P.M.
From: 0x004077c3AA1C17eFF24ae846B72c3D9C83927134
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x003e00600cc332c5d23ff48f706c636da79951dd19a7ced7bf88bb25afee72bf
295.06 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/14/2026, 3:27:14 P.M.
From: 0x000f5c2d2500087d3e26357402170042be0367f5
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x002e00527755a50069fa2a79e661b8a21c1811a85c20eaf7038b41783b9a9d78
301.3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/14/2026, 3:27:14 P.M.
From: 0x00195728ee6a2AF0F8FfbC3eb96e5a6ea4495d65
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00070046f0b06889ad5813181db176f070a48936875e108db673dd2b9f35684e
301.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/14/2026, 3:27:14 P.M.
From: 0x0013B50FD6e114506825AE57905548bFFeb59F95
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x002200171de0895b4b6c1e5c27fbf554a1d94793a50c18c17d7080895ece7cca
304.23 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/14/2026, 3:27:14 P.M.
From: 0x0063C504CD47Cc115338f4130026576471a3F4B3
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x001100265339a2b3646167cf72dd5cbe4143da5358edfd0ef02ca987cb691b43
312.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/14/2026, 3:27:14 P.M.
From: 0x0014e8b32A212DF7ae5543F0B95bb6ae6dE24809
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x004e0025ececde18d24184236be0a0d6c1ff77bfb2553301c96b46b35b87c64f
298.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/14/2026, 3:27:14 P.M.
From: 0x000A33544feAEDCFB71a122927a5Fe3D2B7E8B87
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x007200771971e289812e78f235fb029224ac17d6e3cca39cf06173624f5780c4
306.08 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/14/2026, 3:27:14 P.M.
From: 0x00501A00fcAf8e30f4FeDe0C0d8035655d94471A
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0061004f538654e2800d83a73833f5d939a6b98bdb83135a7def4eb2abba839b
302.94 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/14/2026, 3:27:14 P.M.
From: 0x0049EaB9d98B6A255234ed69372Be50166dD4E08
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00080005b364ffbccf806bbbe97b92db15694ee35d387d2cd58cf7fa3fac5b6d