Spike bucket
08/14/2026, 2:13:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/14/2026, 2:13:00 P.M. to 08/14/2026, 2:14:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
23% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 614.77
Unexplained QUAI: 2,023.23
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 34% of explained volume
Relative context
0.8x above local average
0.2x previous minute
4.3x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
9
Asset volume
2,638 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0070FFC5a5fa1F3Aeafda53E8AD8dD0BC75da8AA.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 2638 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0070FFC5a5fa1F3Aeafda53E8AD8dD0BC75da8AA.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/14/2026, 2:13:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (77% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (23%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
614.77 QUAI across 5 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0070FFC5a5fa1F3Aeafda53E8AD8dD0BC75da8AA
Net sender
Unknown type
206.32 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000cDD7d2F6Ef30215B7f8A8d7c409AdF3935b86
Net sender
Unknown type
103.45 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0063d17cA2Ded4C2718C683Ca5ca587A98C7F660
Net sender
Unknown type
103.04 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001C65111C294EbF05E3C3358491058848C917BF
Net sender
Unknown type
102.25 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 614.77 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
2,638 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/14/2026, 2:13:03 P.M.
-1 min
Best candidate6 tx
13,275.11 QUAI • 18 addresses
08/14/2026, 2:11:43 P.M.
+1 min
5 tx
614.77 QUAI • 6 addresses
08/14/2026, 2:14:14 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/14/2026, 2:10:24 P.M.
+3 min
3 tx
7,529 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/14/2026, 2:15:33 P.M.
-4 min
14 tx
928.88 QUAI • 27 addresses
08/14/2026, 2:09:05 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/14/2026, 2:16:52 P.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/14/2026, 2:07:44 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
206.32 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/14/2026, 2:13:57 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0070FFC5a5fa1F3Aeafda53E8AD8dD0BC75da8AA
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
102.25 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/14/2026, 2:13:57 P.M.
From: 0x001C65111C294EbF05E3C3358491058848C917BF
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0023005259682de9c047e4a1aa99dae297b3161fe1d31bc1139bb086d878ed4b
103.45 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/14/2026, 2:13:57 P.M.
From: 0x000cDD7d2F6Ef30215B7f8A8d7c409AdF3935b86
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x000b006eedfac5d34da2dda764e197cfa9c2aebed3a7d87d9ba60d8f115abe34
103.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/14/2026, 2:13:57 P.M.
From: 0x0063d17cA2Ded4C2718C683Ca5ca587A98C7F660
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005f002acb74c3f1fcf890687f3154305fa56fac725cd5520e24b40ab32f13d3
206.32 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/14/2026, 2:13:57 P.M.
From: 0x0070FFC5a5fa1F3Aeafda53E8AD8dD0BC75da8AA
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002b00455262b8ed9bee7cbec0cd44f27e215268958ca1443527874c2f5ff27b
99.72 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/14/2026, 2:13:57 P.M.
From: 0x00168639eAfC0f3BFA527e17917D8FCcaFfDb616
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002a00369129393dc70b9347099cab7948b3c6512159c590932d4dc36664836f