Spike bucket
08/14/2026, 2:11:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/14/2026, 2:11:00 P.M. to 08/14/2026, 2:12:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
20% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 2,631
Unexplained QUAI: 10,644.11
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
4.1x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
1
16.7% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
13,275.11 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x001C0526c0E06D355eFfaDAe52952598852753ba • 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 13275 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x001C0526c0E06D355eFfaDAe52952598852753ba • 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 1 visible transfer row
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/14/2026, 2:11:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (80% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 1 transfer row • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (20%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x001C0526c0E06D355eFfaDAe52952598852753ba
Net sender
Unknown type
2,631 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,631 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/14/2026, 2:10:24 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate6 tx
13,275.11 QUAI • 18 addresses
08/14/2026, 2:11:43 P.M.
-2 min
14 tx
928.88 QUAI • 27 addresses
08/14/2026, 2:09:05 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
2,638 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/14/2026, 2:13:03 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/14/2026, 2:07:44 P.M.
+3 min
5 tx
614.77 QUAI • 6 addresses
08/14/2026, 2:14:14 P.M.
-5 min
50 tx
839.2 QUAI • 61 addresses
08/14/2026, 2:06:24 P.M.
+5 min
3 tx
7,529 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/14/2026, 2:15:33 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
2,631 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/14/2026, 2:11:14 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x001C0526c0E06D355eFfaDAe52952598852753ba
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
All transfers in this selected minute
1 transactions
2,631 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/14/2026, 2:11:14 P.M.
From: 0x001C0526c0E06D355eFfaDAe52952598852753ba
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x007100704d2d3c956f2541950709d8f67e28b40f04bf305c240da34a1ba436c5