Spike bucket
08/14/2026, 12:07:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/14/2026, 12:07:00 P.M. to 08/14/2026, 12:08:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 444.96
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 47% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
0.9x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
5
Asset volume
444.96 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002a4A65718F725ee28124D06367A77743fFe4c1.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 445 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002a4A65718F725ee28124D06367A77743fFe4c1.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/14/2026, 12:07:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
430.71 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Known watch context
0x002a4A65718F725ee28124D06367A77743fFe4c1
Net sender
Unknown type
209.77 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0072CC14Cf0F186e4D39bdcEc0056b736Da79B23
Balanced
Unknown type
122.26 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x001D34B2650bb2D1716dd1eE877115375C540EbB
Net sender
Unknown type
112.93 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
Net sender
Unknown type
14.25 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 430.71 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
51 tx
1,700.04 QUAI • 63 addresses
08/14/2026, 12:06:48 P.M.
+1 min
5 tx
509.99 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/14/2026, 12:08:07 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/14/2026, 12:05:29 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/14/2026, 12:09:26 P.M.
-3 min
51 tx
45,181.86 QUAI • 60 addresses
08/14/2026, 12:04:09 P.M.
-4 min
Best candidate1 tx
100,000 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/14/2026, 12:02:50 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
08/14/2026, 12:10:45 P.M.
+5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/14/2026, 12:12:03 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
209.77 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/14/2026, 12:07:42 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002a4A65718F725ee28124D06367A77743fFe4c1
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
112.93 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/14/2026, 12:07:42 P.M.
From: 0x001D34B2650bb2D1716dd1eE877115375C540EbB
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002f002c02cb4f7f581c27d6821d94354c124d3135ac8b2b24d37a216197ac9b
209.77 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/14/2026, 12:07:42 P.M.
From: 0x002a4A65718F725ee28124D06367A77743fFe4c1
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0046004cd9604ff3ab54023d717ce97a06611223e2b639618c55d2947f06531f
108.01 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/14/2026, 12:07:42 P.M.
From: 0x0072CC14Cf0F186e4D39bdcEc0056b736Da79B23
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004c000b437be4bbed2646b033ab07341e386e2de147f1af2609ba1012e86233
14.25 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/14/2026, 12:07:13 P.M.
From: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
To: 0x0072CC14Cf0F186e4D39bdcEc0056b736Da79B23
Tx: 0x00700029a842020a0f6d37fe765abe0f0f8e602aa432be43753d42b8d7f15651
