Spike bucket
08/14/2026, 12:06:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/14/2026, 12:06:00 P.M. to 08/14/2026, 12:07:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
4% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 76.1
Unexplained QUAI: 1,623.94
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 85% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
51
Observable rows
2
3.9% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
63
Asset volume
1,700.04 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B • 0x000Bd4a1F1184E4ad0e656f6db0Fc37916780491.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 1700 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B • 0x000Bd4a1F1184E4ad0e656f6db0Fc37916780491.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/14/2026, 12:06:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (96% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (4%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
Net sender
Unknown type
76.1 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x000Bd4a1F1184E4ad0e656f6db0Fc37916780491
Net receiver
Unknown type
65.03 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003067b067Cb41FeF60051d26bA4B5b1AaFb3e53
Net receiver
Unknown type
11.07 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/14/2026, 12:05:29 P.M.
+1 min
51 tx
1,700.04 QUAI • 63 addresses
08/14/2026, 12:06:48 P.M.
-2 min
51 tx
45,181.86 QUAI • 60 addresses
08/14/2026, 12:04:09 P.M.
+2 min
5 tx
509.99 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/14/2026, 12:08:07 P.M.
-3 min
Best candidate1 tx
100,000 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/14/2026, 12:02:50 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/14/2026, 12:09:26 P.M.
-5 min
1 tx
123.74 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/14/2026, 12:01:29 P.M.
+5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
08/14/2026, 12:10:45 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
65.03 QUAI
Derived whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/14/2026, 12:06:44 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
To: 0x000Bd4a1F1184E4ad0e656f6db0Fc37916780491
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
65.03 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/14/2026, 12:06:44 P.M.
From: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
To: 0x000Bd4a1F1184E4ad0e656f6db0Fc37916780491
Tx: 0x002f00283a3ed7a187cd07533fccce3956336c4f972c4e1c75d7b970ec5ad121
11.07 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/14/2026, 12:06:33 P.M.
From: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
To: 0x003067b067Cb41FeF60051d26bA4B5b1AaFb3e53
Tx: 0x005100651381ec74c7ca3fc496d16d47a499c0cea90c7a3204b014ba0e45a08d