Spike bucket
08/14/2026, 11:15:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/14/2026, 11:15:00 A.M. to 08/14/2026, 11:16:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 4,383.47
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 60% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
8
Asset volume
0 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0050219A153A9936dae5D0B0bacf8e3BD31a05Ef.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 0 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0050219A153A9936dae5D0B0bacf8e3BD31a05Ef.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/14/2026, 11:15:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
4,383.47 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0050219A153A9936dae5D0B0bacf8e3BD31a05Ef
Net sender
Unknown type
2,613.86 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004d9e4F409D06A0e67F754FC49f63753B8648D7
Net sender
Unknown type
1,657.08 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF
Net sender
Unknown type
112.52 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 4,383.47 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 7 addresses
08/14/2026, 11:14:25 A.M.
+1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
08/14/2026, 11:15:43 A.M.
-2 min
1 tx
2,614.15 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/14/2026, 11:13:06 A.M.
+2 min
Best candidate3 tx
4,383.47 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/14/2026, 11:17:01 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/14/2026, 11:11:47 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/14/2026, 11:18:20 A.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/14/2026, 11:10:29 A.M.
+5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/14/2026, 11:19:39 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
2,613.86 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/14/2026, 11:15:48 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0050219A153A9936dae5D0B0bacf8e3BD31a05Ef
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
1,657.08 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/14/2026, 11:15:48 A.M.
From: 0x004d9e4F409D06A0e67F754FC49f63753B8648D7
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005a002eb60e21123e6f760632ff665074b1fc108a45ceb84519c86c39ee0079
2,613.86 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/14/2026, 11:15:48 A.M.
From: 0x0050219A153A9936dae5D0B0bacf8e3BD31a05Ef
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0034001ebcada62992f133aa1a41f75bcb809153c4f41b11669eca8795a8260f
112.52 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/14/2026, 11:15:48 A.M.
From: 0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0014003e8214bb36bbf219508b209451c4637d52ad2cafabd176eff7c8903eb3