Spike bucket
08/14/2026, 8:43:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/14/2026, 8:43:00 A.M. to 08/14/2026, 8:44:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
95% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 104.64
Unexplained QUAI: 5.59
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 52% of explained volume
Relative context
3.8x above local average
1.6x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
13
Asset volume
110.23 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006c65b3fA9b5d5A7114F13Ce2BDa87eE8A69Bf4 • 0x00317DC426a9E548C4d47A899F322c2aa998605E.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 110 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006c65b3fA9b5d5A7114F13Ce2BDa87eE8A69Bf4 • 0x00317DC426a9E548C4d47A899F322c2aa998605E.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/14/2026, 8:43:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006c65b3fA9b5d5A7114F13Ce2BDa87eE8A69Bf4
Net sender
Unknown type
104.64 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00317DC426a9E548C4d47A899F322c2aa998605E
Net receiver
Unknown type
54.2 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0044CC6785AD1166177A3D26cb3CF23122792138
Net receiver
Unknown type
50.44 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
1 tx
68.92 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/14/2026, 8:42:29 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate2 tx
110.23 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/14/2026, 8:43:47 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/14/2026, 8:41:09 A.M.
+2 min
1 tx
50.44 QUAI • 2 addresses
08/14/2026, 8:44:58 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/14/2026, 8:39:50 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/14/2026, 8:46:16 A.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/14/2026, 8:38:32 A.M.
+5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/14/2026, 8:47:35 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
54.2 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/14/2026, 8:43:37 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x006c65b3fA9b5d5A7114F13Ce2BDa87eE8A69Bf4
To: 0x00317DC426a9E548C4d47A899F322c2aa998605E
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
50.44 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/14/2026, 8:43:51 A.M.
From: 0x006c65b3fA9b5d5A7114F13Ce2BDa87eE8A69Bf4
To: 0x0044CC6785AD1166177A3D26cb3CF23122792138
Tx: 0x006b00519eea7749a75d85995ea25b5e45e9af2a7d7b4a1e4c583cdc05b36646
54.2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/14/2026, 8:43:37 A.M.
From: 0x006c65b3fA9b5d5A7114F13Ce2BDa87eE8A69Bf4
To: 0x00317DC426a9E548C4d47A899F322c2aa998605E
Tx: 0x002d0033c336108ab75e2cd111aa90cd59ac3cfe01c4b614f13ad56641976fed