Spike bucket
08/14/2026, 8:04:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/14/2026, 8:04:00 A.M. to 08/14/2026, 8:05:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
45% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 21,981.84
Unexplained QUAI: 27,348.23
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 91% of explained volume
Relative context
5.2x above local average
23x previous minute
36x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
60
Observable rows
7
11.7% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
69
Asset volume
49,330.07 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 49330 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 50
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/14/2026, 8:04:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (55% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (45%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
21,961.84 QUAI across 6 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net sender
Unknown type
19,998.85 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006f384FE26595A4AF5F86115D2B3cACaB220FDc
Net sender
Unknown type
1,403.41 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0054403727995A1b50197b34D7D6E64e70C068e1
Net sender
Unknown type
185.25 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0051589c20c542525f2a1c8C9f5d8Bf62f5b16CC
Net sender
Unknown type
141.61 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 21,961.84 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate60 tx
49,330.07 QUAI • 69 addresses
08/14/2026, 8:04:23 A.M.
-1 min
5 tx
2,176.11 QUAI • 17 addresses
08/14/2026, 8:03:04 A.M.
-2 min
4 tx
18,935.62 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/14/2026, 8:01:45 A.M.
+2 min
51 tx
1,375.79 QUAI • 60 addresses
08/14/2026, 8:05:43 A.M.
+3 min
17 tx
742.73 QUAI • 29 addresses
08/14/2026, 8:07:02 A.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/14/2026, 8:00:26 A.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/14/2026, 8:08:21 A.M.
-5 min
1 tx
4,032.93 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/14/2026, 7:59:06 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,998.85 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/14/2026, 8:04:08 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
20 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/14/2026, 8:04:31 A.M.
From: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
To: 0x0072CC14Cf0F186e4D39bdcEc0056b736Da79B23
Tx: 0x004d00577095b0e63067688916e0b2ae83ada5a75060a29faa8e0e1fc2e14bdf
185.25 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/14/2026, 8:04:08 A.M.
From: 0x0054403727995A1b50197b34D7D6E64e70C068e1
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00750004fe97711e646ea2550951fe70ab45360126293829dc34be8291635d2c
123.79 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/14/2026, 8:04:08 A.M.
From: 0x005006FcfF9948c95D23Add60242B06CcDE65ADE
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004c001cf89204f7612d23dab188b9754c31a846a90aac57ecfcd110858b8bc5
19,998.85 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/14/2026, 8:04:08 A.M.
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00270031d6de155eaa63dbaf246a785eff081fab9ba4f6ddfcc85bddb83af7aa
1,403.41 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/14/2026, 8:04:08 A.M.
From: 0x006f384FE26595A4AF5F86115D2B3cACaB220FDc
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00090054d913128de00cfe35fb0abc8a294544356f6dd80aaf9df38d590cc338
108.93 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/14/2026, 8:04:08 A.M.
From: 0x0052Ec5b0c17f72a92c1B12F8276443D917D3900
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005b000bb9ffc2a87fd2e0427a2d34bbeb0c4997fea080f2d546c6cd80097cae
141.61 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/14/2026, 8:04:08 A.M.
From: 0x0051589c20c542525f2a1c8C9f5d8Bf62f5b16CC
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00440043a9841d52403c4013a321e61040402547027afcf3f79bc23cb600e8ed