Spike bucket
08/14/2026, 3:02:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/14/2026, 3:02:00 A.M. to 08/14/2026, 3:03:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
57% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,055.33
Unexplained QUAI: 812.09
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 97% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
0.2x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
2
50.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
13
Asset volume
1,867.42 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x0054d52a30f89cB614d18B7E7cf450D0fFdBB340.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 1867 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x0054d52a30f89cB614d18B7E7cf450D0fFdBB340.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 08/14/2026, 3:02:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (43% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (57%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
1,025.86 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0054d52a30f89cB614d18B7E7cf450D0fFdBB340
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,025.86 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
29.47 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0054C5A6265DaF03a6b66eCa714Fe41F46070486
Net receiver
Unknown type
29.47 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
7 tx
10,527.35 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/14/2026, 3:01:35 A.M.
+1 min
4 tx
1,867.42 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/14/2026, 3:02:48 A.M.
-2 min
9 tx
8,624.15 QUAI • 19 addresses
08/14/2026, 3:00:24 A.M.
+2 min
56 tx
5,947.03 QUAI • 66 addresses
08/14/2026, 3:03:59 A.M.
-3 min
6 tx
2,443.18 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/14/2026, 2:59:14 A.M.
+3 min
15 tx
17,049.45 QUAI • 26 addresses
08/14/2026, 3:05:10 A.M.
-4 min
9 tx
4,270.73 QUAI • 20 addresses
08/14/2026, 2:58:03 A.M.
+4 min
Best candidate75 tx
125,841.06 QUAI • 88 addresses
08/14/2026, 3:06:23 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,025.86 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/14/2026, 3:02:11 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0054d52a30f89cB614d18B7E7cf450D0fFdBB340
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
1,025.86 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/14/2026, 3:02:11 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0054d52a30f89cB614d18B7E7cf450D0fFdBB340
Tx: 0x0078004fa1633b14364dbcf4349f63fc6e7742f8e4fe3b7986c428666f3276a5
29.47 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/14/2026, 3:02:11 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0054C5A6265DaF03a6b66eCa714Fe41F46070486
Tx: 0x00270006e9794d470d73fdaf26fee6dab19b3cbc8ee56e8fd10e341d5f078978
