Spike bucket
08/14/2026, 2:34:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/14/2026, 2:34:00 A.M. to 08/14/2026, 2:35:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
15% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 2,707.27
Unexplained QUAI: 15,472.69
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 28% of explained volume
Relative context
2.2x above local average
3.4x previous minute
4.4x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
14
Observable rows
6
42.9% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
24
Asset volume
18,179.96 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 18180 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 27
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/14/2026, 2:34:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (85% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (15%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
1,046.98 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
Net sender
Unknown type
844.31 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
815.98 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0022C84B3BEFEE6663887eC3f7Ea7d524CF375b4
Net receiver
Unknown type
762.44 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0024D122C5CcBAC26c45Db649dC45f1b9E952a89
Net receiver
Unknown type
742.2 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate14 tx
18,179.96 QUAI • 24 addresses
08/14/2026, 2:34:14 A.M.
-1 min
8 tx
5,380.59 QUAI • 23 addresses
08/14/2026, 2:33:01 A.M.
+1 min
9 tx
4,143.93 QUAI • 19 addresses
08/14/2026, 2:35:26 A.M.
-2 min
7 tx
13,093.12 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/14/2026, 2:31:50 A.M.
-3 min
3 tx
151 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/14/2026, 2:30:39 A.M.
+3 min
17 tx
8,014.49 QUAI • 26 addresses
08/14/2026, 2:36:37 A.M.
+4 min
6 tx
5,855.79 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/14/2026, 2:37:48 A.M.
-5 min
19 tx
11,249.23 QUAI • 30 addresses
08/14/2026, 2:29:28 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
762.44 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/14/2026, 2:34:27 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0022C84B3BEFEE6663887eC3f7Ea7d524CF375b4
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
53.54 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/14/2026, 2:34:32 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0023017E35176D093A766f758b30EE21ccc3d153
Tx: 0x00790010868213d252a86b8c582cd2e81283b5cfb14fb5ee6e0efc321546d463
742.2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/14/2026, 2:34:32 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0024D122C5CcBAC26c45Db649dC45f1b9E952a89
Tx: 0x00650049b7d27bfefafc420cad7370dfdbb23cc6ec7e9e3e9ffa8805307b2260
359.38 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/14/2026, 2:34:32 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x0027a5bC35F2EA14fB6427668a2233eE5DDE73bD
Tx: 0x00640021cf673d150429b5b6e505637dfe540b934406937a982d340fce99a9b1
762.44 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/14/2026, 2:34:27 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0022C84B3BEFEE6663887eC3f7Ea7d524CF375b4
Tx: 0x004700764f838d5b01f7860b75a2d200bcfeb5a3c2d9493a56be1bd70cfb44a7
304.78 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/14/2026, 2:34:27 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00247DE74e638091811E9cD995f8690d4821E09C
Tx: 0x00720009380bcee79c39d80abaae311e629dd16911dc030a063671f904eaa122
484.93 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/14/2026, 2:34:27 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x00273ceF172f5449057ef36B1f4A4D211caF4Ea5
Tx: 0x0060001a02a8001a0b95ac86783ca23427343cdb43ab738276d05c94a691e8b3