Spike bucket
08/14/2026, 2:31:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/14/2026, 2:31:00 A.M. to 08/14/2026, 2:32:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
4% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 538.78
Unexplained QUAI: 12,554.35
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 46% of explained volume
Relative context
1.2x above local average
1.2x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
7
Observable rows
5
71.4% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
14
Asset volume
13,093.12 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x001A03928b4eC613Be64796727C3a13704162416.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 13093 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 37
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x001A03928b4eC613Be64796727C3a13704162416.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/14/2026, 2:31:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (96% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (4%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
299.65 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x001A03928b4eC613Be64796727C3a13704162416
Net receiver
Unknown type
248.26 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
196.01 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x001d07ea41085F9eD9cd93c417BA372AbF1164DB
Net receiver
Unknown type
164.29 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0019E7335eeaFA078cE009813473919390AcfF96
Net receiver
Unknown type
51.39 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
151 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/14/2026, 2:30:39 A.M.
+1 min
7 tx
13,093.12 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/14/2026, 2:31:50 A.M.
-2 min
19 tx
11,249.23 QUAI • 30 addresses
08/14/2026, 2:29:28 A.M.
+2 min
8 tx
5,380.59 QUAI • 23 addresses
08/14/2026, 2:33:01 A.M.
-3 min
Best candidate12 tx
25,250.15 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/14/2026, 2:28:16 A.M.
+3 min
14 tx
18,179.96 QUAI • 24 addresses
08/14/2026, 2:34:14 A.M.
-4 min
15 tx
11,388.04 QUAI • 23 addresses
08/14/2026, 2:27:05 A.M.
+4 min
9 tx
4,143.93 QUAI • 19 addresses
08/14/2026, 2:35:26 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
248.26 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/14/2026, 2:31:53 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x001A03928b4eC613Be64796727C3a13704162416
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
248.26 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/14/2026, 2:31:53 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x001A03928b4eC613Be64796727C3a13704162416
Tx: 0x0036000a5cedb47a6bff65b94faecf8a22f2bce290ed5d87795691c7a7efd1ff
31.72 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/14/2026, 2:31:53 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x001D18207630cbd33fD47C3eA544f72AfEB22Ef8
Tx: 0x004800007689d69ff32342d8f416967442387afbb7e437ab6fb3a950d81f5bca
43.12 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/14/2026, 2:31:48 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x00228838f4165323A8b6fB12E1F1ACd2bE445c4A
Tx: 0x00410034936df523447ff81d4f1c678ca3db929ed14ca10e5ff1ef61f3cbd766
51.39 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/14/2026, 2:31:48 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0019E7335eeaFA078cE009813473919390AcfF96
Tx: 0x007600661320b49126c120474f1540a8efbf76ee7c0cd99ca02430ef919f8066
164.29 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/14/2026, 2:31:48 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x001d07ea41085F9eD9cd93c417BA372AbF1164DB
Tx: 0x0079004431fb19dcd3264b4825f47453c9720201cdd50c5172cc3c85723debfb