Spike bucket
08/14/2026, 2:27:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/14/2026, 2:27:00 A.M. to 08/14/2026, 2:28:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 22,486.64
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 89% of explained volume
Relative context
1.5x above local average
0.5x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
15
Observable rows
7
46.7% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
23
Asset volume
11,388.04 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81 • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + medium confidence + 11388 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 53
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81 • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/14/2026, 2:27:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
Net sender
Unknown type
19,999.06 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net receiver
Unknown type
19,999.06 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
1,104.94 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
1,080.31 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0015D7708aB67E1a895AD5b303FFEEd37CbA8428
Net receiver
Unknown type
818.59 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
15 tx
11,388.04 QUAI • 23 addresses
08/14/2026, 2:27:05 A.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/14/2026, 2:25:55 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate12 tx
25,250.15 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/14/2026, 2:28:16 A.M.
-2 min
9 tx
5,413.73 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/14/2026, 2:24:44 A.M.
+2 min
19 tx
11,249.23 QUAI • 30 addresses
08/14/2026, 2:29:28 A.M.
-3 min
9 tx
5,598.92 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/14/2026, 2:23:33 A.M.
+4 min
3 tx
151 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/14/2026, 2:30:39 A.M.
-5 min
3 tx
917.87 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/14/2026, 2:22:21 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,999.06 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/14/2026, 2:27:37 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
261.72 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/14/2026, 2:27:37 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0015Eaa741Ba5CCd5D99D1D0c26d16D02fDd9054
Tx: 0x005a0031b9ebf5468400f90cfb9e073f36e3cdea5e65b1cb998daec903ba5687
114.92 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/14/2026, 2:27:37 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x001850bE349df62074bCd203EF2529446E413C57
Tx: 0x007c0055559f9715b05fa4102ce4575f7f5584e97d2e4d52d60b76e038c4a1cc
475.41 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/14/2026, 2:27:37 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0015C375eB72991eF63d9095d84FfC5BAEab439C
Tx: 0x001400356500d301bdb5b53d0b68d1e061e8e114408c4ade62d754a4892aca1c
19,999.06 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/14/2026, 2:27:37 A.M.
From: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Tx: 0x0059004c5a01f0d4faf401abb349d51d45452c1ace438f49f674e507e615bf0b
818.59 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
08/14/2026, 2:27:10 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0015D7708aB67E1a895AD5b303FFEEd37CbA8428
Tx: 0x001c004dada116602fcf22c3752d0e3a55c436395f811983e0b009b135a75fac
629.53 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/14/2026, 2:27:10 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0015358387Ed8c850012a58515fe5D0d5603d58e
Tx: 0x0063004d6b2c92f7364bdced9a6ae4251f55cce5db76999b5c2c06b19c4526d5
187.41 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/14/2026, 2:27:10 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x0017b28940Ce577b74bbdCbB84c4398b24a80741
Tx: 0x005a007fb457c84447f29e2c9e585840904f30ebaf5d9df167fff98b8b89ee7c
