Spike bucket
08/14/2026, 2:10:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/14/2026, 2:10:00 A.M. to 08/14/2026, 2:11:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 323.59
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 35% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
11
Asset volume
0 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0019F9b43cb6f2Ff7b0fFC61C0F0976b3ca1D23e.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 0 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0019F9b43cb6f2Ff7b0fFC61C0F0976b3ca1D23e.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/14/2026, 2:10:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
323.59 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0019F9b43cb6f2Ff7b0fFC61C0F0976b3ca1D23e
Net sender
Unknown type
113.1 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00095148E36DA3ca00ADc55DE9a8AF7c0Bc01bd3
Net sender
Unknown type
106.97 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00008f15F47FCF49ceb0c5e61d9389B4DC549bee
Net sender
Unknown type
103.52 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 323.59 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
5 tx
43.89 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/14/2026, 2:09:21 A.M.
+1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/14/2026, 2:10:31 A.M.
-2 min
2 tx
119.7 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/14/2026, 2:08:10 A.M.
+2 min
3 tx
323.59 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/14/2026, 2:11:42 A.M.
-3 min
Best candidate52 tx
1,587.22 QUAI • 68 addresses
08/14/2026, 2:07:00 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/14/2026, 2:12:55 A.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
08/14/2026, 2:05:49 A.M.
+4 min
3 tx
718.13 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/14/2026, 2:14:06 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
113.1 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/14/2026, 2:10:53 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0019F9b43cb6f2Ff7b0fFC61C0F0976b3ca1D23e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
106.97 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/14/2026, 2:10:53 A.M.
From: 0x00095148E36DA3ca00ADc55DE9a8AF7c0Bc01bd3
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x007e00434f978a47dce4edeb08814dd5f0c49f30410287de23ea9fdcdb127056
103.52 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/14/2026, 2:10:53 A.M.
From: 0x00008f15F47FCF49ceb0c5e61d9389B4DC549bee
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00470013a1e6b64d749bc5c13f06846eb5fc923077e0d60470ec1fb8a5fd1888
113.1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/14/2026, 2:10:53 A.M.
From: 0x0019F9b43cb6f2Ff7b0fFC61C0F0976b3ca1D23e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00550070116f4327b5e38be8ff93cee4b3a1ef5a27d46c4c95da0c41dc9d8cf5