Spike bucket
08/14/2026, 2:08:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/14/2026, 2:08:00 A.M. to 08/14/2026, 2:09:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
37% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 43.89
Unexplained QUAI: 75.81
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 43% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
0.1x previous minute
2.7x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
9
Asset volume
119.7 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x00293B52b3891afa998163221A3D610Be0D5d99F.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 120 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x00293B52b3891afa998163221A3D610Be0D5d99F.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/14/2026, 2:08:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (63% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (37%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
Net sender
Unknown type
43.89 QUAI across 5 visible rows
0x00293B52b3891afa998163221A3D610Be0D5d99F
Net receiver
Unknown type
18.96 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003c82ECb4b9D3756F2cd7484713a5F4B0CA16bC
Net receiver
Unknown type
7.52 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0029D74BFeacE23C9a500D8D952483B66d36e78e
Net receiver
Unknown type
6.25 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0008E77A0dD7DF694769928733B983D84426Ff02
Net receiver
Unknown type
6.23 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
119.7 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/14/2026, 2:08:10 A.M.
-1 min
52 tx
1,587.22 QUAI • 68 addresses
08/14/2026, 2:07:00 A.M.
+1 min
5 tx
43.89 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/14/2026, 2:09:21 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
08/14/2026, 2:05:49 A.M.
-3 min
Best candidate51 tx
2,854.66 QUAI • 60 addresses
08/14/2026, 2:04:38 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/14/2026, 2:10:31 A.M.
+4 min
3 tx
323.59 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/14/2026, 2:11:42 A.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/14/2026, 2:03:27 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
18.96 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/14/2026, 2:08:48 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00293B52b3891afa998163221A3D610Be0D5d99F
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
6.25 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/14/2026, 2:08:48 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0029D74BFeacE23C9a500D8D952483B66d36e78e
Tx: 0x000d002a9189a557dce5bf127c0dd0ffd353bfb7a1d3dff769a1b6486f083d31
4.93 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/14/2026, 2:08:48 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00536c5c3BF90B1E899871208eC62D33250A841e
Tx: 0x0074006c667b86db9b4be75929652cf4dbcce7e227864242e5e218aa76cddbdd
7.52 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/14/2026, 2:08:48 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x003c82ECb4b9D3756F2cd7484713a5F4B0CA16bC
Tx: 0x007800650cd9d556cef4f64a755ad295a1cb811c0fc83ad5073a852b0d47ac8e
6.23 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/14/2026, 2:08:48 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0008E77A0dD7DF694769928733B983D84426Ff02
Tx: 0x006e007a8428a4f6320a0172d33be587376a4cc0679a2659ec5ca94b2d477ab0
18.96 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/14/2026, 2:08:48 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00293B52b3891afa998163221A3D610Be0D5d99F
Tx: 0x000b0016d17d6916fcb4ce5345d2c4c407e28726f3aafd42cfcd22a1b5966df3