Spike bucket
08/14/2026, 12:07:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/14/2026, 12:07:00 A.M. to 08/14/2026, 12:08:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 109.3
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 58% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
0.0x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
8
Asset volume
109.3 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B • 0x000Bd4a1F1184E4ad0e656f6db0Fc37916780491.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 109 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B • 0x000Bd4a1F1184E4ad0e656f6db0Fc37916780491.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/14/2026, 12:07:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
Net sender
Unknown type
63.17 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000Bd4a1F1184E4ad0e656f6db0Fc37916780491
Net receiver
Unknown type
63.17 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
Net sender
Unknown type
46.12 QUAI across 5 visible rows
0x0014e8b32A212DF7ae5543F0B95bb6ae6dE24809
Net receiver
Unknown type
15.66 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000431e64aa6008591d75B65583d646Ecd5C911a
Net receiver
Unknown type
13.87 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
14.21 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/14/2026, 12:06:50 A.M.
-1 min
Best candidate52 tx
2,674.81 QUAI • 63 addresses
08/14/2026, 12:05:39 A.M.
+1 min
6 tx
109.3 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/14/2026, 12:08:00 A.M.
+2 min
1 tx
20.02 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/14/2026, 12:09:11 A.M.
-3 min
50 tx
1,601.15 QUAI • 58 addresses
08/14/2026, 12:04:26 A.M.
+3 min
1 tx
16.91 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/14/2026, 12:10:21 A.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/14/2026, 12:03:15 A.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/14/2026, 12:02:05 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
63.17 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/14/2026, 12:07:42 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
To: 0x000Bd4a1F1184E4ad0e656f6db0Fc37916780491
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
63.17 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/14/2026, 12:07:42 A.M.
From: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
To: 0x000Bd4a1F1184E4ad0e656f6db0Fc37916780491
Tx: 0x0059002013a6af03775d73a81c29941c278faf29cfa55e84ff3af7b9d7ca0df0
15.66 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/14/2026, 12:07:42 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0014e8b32A212DF7ae5543F0B95bb6ae6dE24809
Tx: 0x004f0020b6c7d2d7797acf3e0cec847ef62ad076342a0e3babd050d3a60b7b1f
4.86 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/14/2026, 12:07:42 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00536c5c3BF90B1E899871208eC62D33250A841e
Tx: 0x005500481ca18c522d372b36eb4bae94103976a1b3a0dcfec16a397728b4fe00
13.87 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/14/2026, 12:07:42 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x000431e64aa6008591d75B65583d646Ecd5C911a
Tx: 0x0005002614d2578d4260c8b60abc11a110a5ad78647b0603bc4359c8735a2f79
6.25 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/14/2026, 12:07:42 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x003c82ECb4b9D3756F2cd7484713a5F4B0CA16bC
Tx: 0x00350042b8272ce7d4890d9fb9a075596a55c7717cce55ced68a97dde42596a8
5.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/14/2026, 12:07:42 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0063C504CD47Cc115338f4130026576471a3F4B3
Tx: 0x001e001a82be66057574e34e6fc01b10f08d932a41551f3a01255a71a2edec8f