Spike bucket
08/13/2026, 6:31:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/13/2026, 6:31:00 P.M. to 08/13/2026, 6:32:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 4,677.59
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 40% of explained volume
Relative context
1.5x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
4,677.59 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002e219d4DD90Ae25b21E3dc50728D5C70f2Df5A.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 4678 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002e219d4DD90Ae25b21E3dc50728D5C70f2Df5A.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/13/2026, 6:31:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
4,676.26 QUAI across 5 visible rows
Known watch context
0x002e219d4DD90Ae25b21E3dc50728D5C70f2Df5A
Net sender
Unknown type
1,882.08 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0031d619DAFC86aabb50BAA0B160cdd09847A77D
Net sender
Unknown type
1,030.49 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005a045F7bB830cf070c47a1A5F9b7d95D43f304
Net sender
Unknown type
797.49 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0010DbbFb928684a207E98e4EAf8037BA0217053
Net sender
Unknown type
654.38 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 4,676.26 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/13/2026, 6:30:47 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/13/2026, 6:29:37 P.M.
+1 min
6 tx
4,677.59 QUAI • 18 addresses
08/13/2026, 6:31:59 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
101.71 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/13/2026, 6:33:10 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/13/2026, 6:28:27 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/13/2026, 6:34:20 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/13/2026, 6:27:16 P.M.
-5 min
Best candidate26 tx
20,748.34 QUAI • 35 addresses
08/13/2026, 6:26:04 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,882.08 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 6:31:50 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002e219d4DD90Ae25b21E3dc50728D5C70f2Df5A
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
1,030.49 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 6:31:50 P.M.
From: 0x0031d619DAFC86aabb50BAA0B160cdd09847A77D
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00380019cf9c5627939048a6eaaaa96fc94bd7b42a7b6c84bb2348202cf6a253
1,882.08 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 6:31:50 P.M.
From: 0x002e219d4DD90Ae25b21E3dc50728D5C70f2Df5A
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004d0061354c27b9ea358361b63c0240f89bd662609d1ae12ed758e9e12709a9
654.38 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 6:31:50 P.M.
From: 0x0010DbbFb928684a207E98e4EAf8037BA0217053
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00630061d278e0a3be4237deae04ef5754eac6fd83493b0f6f8e44d406a7eb85
797.49 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 6:31:50 P.M.
From: 0x005a045F7bB830cf070c47a1A5F9b7d95D43f304
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002700741664c21c02fa7fe79d20fbb3e2ffa96405eb8f9948355d3ad3580a6b
311.82 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 6:31:50 P.M.
From: 0x007d5c74B3EAdaAD3f0986Ae9D4908d00d07D2AC
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0076003d6f968e6babe5edf4d48f1e38954c4846e99fd536eb78c1c35e38c087
1.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 6:31:50 P.M.
From: 0x00206EA94ab4D72E1df29382Ed3F447F10674A61
To: 0x0008159eF6d55C4e0Ddb6D6fC8b6095a45C58144
Tx: 0x0071005ec5dff5cef7933a3afb81342c98b4fee97b199b4f3cf8535b6489fd55