Spike bucket
08/13/2026, 6:04:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/13/2026, 6:04:00 P.M. to 08/13/2026, 6:05:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 459.13
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 32% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
5
Asset volume
459.13 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0027887D78964c16E32FF39BAcE38f6916C23903.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 459 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0027887D78964c16E32FF39BAcE38f6916C23903.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/13/2026, 6:04:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
459.13 QUAI across 4 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0027887D78964c16E32FF39BAcE38f6916C23903
Net sender
Unknown type
145.88 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0064Fbd982e770771641bb82F5961e900E3Bda88
Net sender
Unknown type
107.02 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005E8fC2D987eab31887d75650ccbD041A88Dc7b
Net sender
Unknown type
103.49 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00168639eAfC0f3BFA527e17917D8FCcaFfDb616
Net sender
Unknown type
102.74 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 459.13 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
50 tx
1,817.41 QUAI • 61 addresses
08/13/2026, 6:03:40 P.M.
+1 min
4 tx
459.13 QUAI • 20 addresses
08/13/2026, 6:05:01 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/13/2026, 6:02:21 P.M.
+2 min
Best candidate87 tx
126,386.18 QUAI • 97 addresses
08/13/2026, 6:06:12 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/13/2026, 6:01:02 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/13/2026, 5:59:43 P.M.
+4 min
7 tx
531.35 QUAI • 19 addresses
08/13/2026, 6:07:33 P.M.
+5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/13/2026, 6:08:52 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
145.88 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 6:04:42 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0027887D78964c16E32FF39BAcE38f6916C23903
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
103.49 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 6:04:42 P.M.
From: 0x005E8fC2D987eab31887d75650ccbD041A88Dc7b
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x007c002f15266f518a04bfaa6beacccc3faecb030f4dbb5d74e99bbbd4492f8d
107.02 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 6:04:42 P.M.
From: 0x0064Fbd982e770771641bb82F5961e900E3Bda88
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x003500311e4c4b16e57cd329a119e04692110041cfab5327b7608efb9e8aef56
102.74 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 6:04:42 P.M.
From: 0x00168639eAfC0f3BFA527e17917D8FCcaFfDb616
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00390016eec1df31c50713175355fa1c12665004b2010440524e9604ffed57f2
145.88 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 6:04:42 P.M.
From: 0x0027887D78964c16E32FF39BAcE38f6916C23903
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004a00210d25eca0f4b03a740c7f10d9df28fec2ac2320ca7346244bf1598607