Spike bucket
08/13/2026, 5:10:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/13/2026, 5:10:00 P.M. to 08/13/2026, 5:11:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 459.66
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 31% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
10
Asset volume
0 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x004D8ac7BB11Ca88A8687C0f6cc522C3F3832Aa6.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 0 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x004D8ac7BB11Ca88A8687C0f6cc522C3F3832Aa6.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/13/2026, 5:10:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
459.66 QUAI across 4 visible rows
Known watch context
0x004D8ac7BB11Ca88A8687C0f6cc522C3F3832Aa6
Net sender
Unknown type
144.77 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005b02a40e1057E2C355B911405c9c67e7810794
Net sender
Unknown type
111.49 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003d0e7E89a10Bbc732f6b91F824Ec9146946Ac5
Net sender
Unknown type
102.91 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007393D3ff2044D694BA97C59846df6A931375c0
Net sender
Unknown type
100.49 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 459.66 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/13/2026, 5:10:13 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/13/2026, 5:08:55 P.M.
-2 min
24 tx
1,954.7 QUAI • 35 addresses
08/13/2026, 5:07:36 P.M.
+2 min
4 tx
459.66 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/13/2026, 5:11:32 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/13/2026, 5:12:53 P.M.
-4 min
Best candidate50 tx
2,225.02 QUAI • 66 addresses
08/13/2026, 5:06:17 P.M.
+4 min
1 tx
1,065.29 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/13/2026, 5:14:11 P.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/13/2026, 5:05:06 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
144.77 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 5:10:12 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004D8ac7BB11Ca88A8687C0f6cc522C3F3832Aa6
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
144.77 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 5:10:12 P.M.
From: 0x004D8ac7BB11Ca88A8687C0f6cc522C3F3832Aa6
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00450059cde95404313a66bb21c7b4f4f099fc097d5e3bfe8f13001a3ea9f60f
100.49 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 5:10:12 P.M.
From: 0x007393D3ff2044D694BA97C59846df6A931375c0
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0058000783d0a7d4ad35d996e4ab88e07b75d7f7db1e418c643aa9242dd5e287
111.49 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 5:10:12 P.M.
From: 0x005b02a40e1057E2C355B911405c9c67e7810794
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006000017aecba07f19a63ecac4906806f0eebde5e2df854b95b6d40c90dd159
102.91 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 5:10:12 P.M.
From: 0x003d0e7E89a10Bbc732f6b91F824Ec9146946Ac5
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x007e007a887e027a3c9c25f3851803d09f22cd6226c0123311e065cf79d7567d