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Spike bucket

08/13/2026, 4:07:00 P.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 08/13/2026, 4:07:00 P.M. to 08/13/2026, 4:08:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
54% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 759.25
Unexplained QUAI: 659.8
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 29% of explained volume
Relative context
2.5x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
50
Observable rows
10
20.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
62
Asset volume
1,419.05 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

medium priority
What happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 1419 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 27
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidenceSource coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context windowPartial source coverage
Last updated: 08/13/2026, 4:07:00 P.M.
Coverage gap moderate (46% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • observable coverage remains partial (54%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
  • Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
  • Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
  • Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.

Top actors in this event

MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
437.2 QUAI across 4 visible rows
Known watch context
0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
Net sender
Unknown type
248.93 QUAI across 5 visible rows
0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Net receiver
Unknown type
217.22 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001D34B2650bb2D1716dd1eE877115375C540EbB
Net sender
Unknown type
121.93 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0045f0A51D2cFC3B573a7DCc2C14AD3C47C3f58e
Net sender
Unknown type
105.93 QUAI across 1 visible row

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 437.2 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
  • Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
  • Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
  • Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

10 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 50. The remaining 40 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.

Biggest whale alert

217.22 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 4:07:55 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39

All transfers in this selected minute

10 transactions
73.12 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 4:07:55 P.M.
From: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
To: 0x000Bd4a1F1184E4ad0e656f6db0Fc37916780491
Tx: 0x0014001e760c984c87cdc5cf68628a52812793df1ef504ad9637f67f692f5ed6
104.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 4:07:55 P.M.
From: 0x007484C238Ec72386d0Bf94fB09F6F4Ea0296f7c
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001600060a1a39c5c84183e43a67b0ff129263479082c0457f4a16717cd082bb
Open txWallet profile
105 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 4:07:55 P.M.
From: 0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0055005ceaaab41727c750f5fe959b89ba23b31a6568f2cb023229e24b613684
Open txWallet profile
105.93 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 4:07:55 P.M.
From: 0x0045f0A51D2cFC3B573a7DCc2C14AD3C47C3f58e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002b0018466c731e2213061dc830baa2ccc8eef7a8606aa46e4c651db4c12727
Open txWallet profile
121.93 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 4:07:55 P.M.
From: 0x001D34B2650bb2D1716dd1eE877115375C540EbB
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005e00484ead7b186552dfd38d5b514221500ba9530b8606fb1d5952413e228e
Open txWallet profile
5.08 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 4:07:55 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0026556e1Be909a07f299A03f8e78181a1f5C654
Tx: 0x007b00529cde088c87cb0ae51c03a86edbdf2b358d53d539f144043097f5da93
7.6 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 4:07:55 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002903dF619f76DF8f0c21B0EBC73725D0555C11
Tx: 0x007500414751c4fcd4ddcaa2c543a96bb7119eb7c5268f1d7dade44121bdf189
217.22 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 4:07:55 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Tx: 0x004f0018a624fb3b6bd2063ccad560b8f824a4e96fd6ecf73c08f614f96d7a99
12.55 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 4:07:55 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00095148E36DA3ca00ADc55DE9a8AF7c0Bc01bd3
Tx: 0x00350012be664dea3663a034ca5a7b8e601b12fe1ccae206ab340c29d01e6c15
6.49 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 4:07:55 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00536c5c3BF90B1E899871208eC62D33250A841e
Tx: 0x001f003042ba72581b00618ae894f397c54b7528a6984765cf4b88989b3aad90