Spike bucket
08/13/2026, 3:50:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/13/2026, 3:50:00 P.M. to 08/13/2026, 3:51:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 8,939.96
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 56% of explained volume
Relative context
3.1x above local average
0.9x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
12
Asset volume
8,939.96 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 8940 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/13/2026, 3:50:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
8,937.96 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
Net sender
Unknown type
4,999.66 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003e6d9CaF8bB49fa74608906D805fE54e9B20BA
Net sender
Unknown type
3,733.25 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00343961EF0409E41DEC65e49aE17E18b3b94C8E
Net sender
Unknown type
205.05 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000eA12Ac834460b54033ddF6E40f2e8C37A9871
Net sender
Unknown type
2 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 8,937.96 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/13/2026, 3:49:42 P.M.
+1 min
4 tx
8,939.96 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/13/2026, 3:50:54 P.M.
-2 min
Best candidate3 tx
10,205.39 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/13/2026, 3:48:29 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/13/2026, 3:52:12 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
35.37 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/13/2026, 3:47:19 P.M.
-4 min
2 tx
4,002.69 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/13/2026, 3:46:08 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/13/2026, 3:53:30 P.M.
-5 min
1 tx
133.45 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/13/2026, 3:44:51 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
4,999.66 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 3:50:04 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
3,733.25 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 3:50:04 P.M.
From: 0x003e6d9CaF8bB49fa74608906D805fE54e9B20BA
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0074004e065a768e5d5e337e109ff6876551e660a90b9ba13cabae1012496afe
4,999.66 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 3:50:04 P.M.
From: 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001c007ffeee9ebbc96a90277bbe8fb09100289d5349719defc6d84c91cb57aa
205.05 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 3:50:04 P.M.
From: 0x00343961EF0409E41DEC65e49aE17E18b3b94C8E
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00150062ffadbc2d548e5fb9acacb052a0928f9824f65022931f32048a8a7d8a
2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 3:50:04 P.M.
From: 0x000eA12Ac834460b54033ddF6E40f2e8C37A9871
To: 0x00700BD124Ffab1f7062D177aF1BB323Efee2665
Tx: 0x002d0074ee8d40a80bf7d0db2081534fdb7f913ad3cc22511843f9ffc71350ee