Spike bucket
08/13/2026, 3:26:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/13/2026, 3:26:00 P.M. to 08/13/2026, 3:27:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
20% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 3,288.29
Unexplained QUAI: 12,793.6
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 12% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
1.6x previous minute
8041x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
38
Observable rows
9
23.7% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
50
Asset volume
16,081.89 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x001D0aceDa0c0C7eF3B516CD0102129e2A1F5b93.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 16082 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 27
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x001D0aceDa0c0C7eF3B516CD0102129e2A1F5b93.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/13/2026, 3:26:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (80% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (20%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
Gate.io hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
3,288.29 QUAI across 9 visible rows
Known watch context
0x001D0aceDa0c0C7eF3B516CD0102129e2A1F5b93
Net sender
Unknown type
388.42 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001E385793e13937a926438982110d7052f00f62
Net sender
Unknown type
386.48 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000f199409379202d1F55Ca5ce1442D80c698156
Net sender
Unknown type
371.95 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004076e55e4c01e4866EE0a79cc5937A0Dc726A5
Net sender
Unknown type
367.26 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 3,288.29 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
38 tx
16,081.89 QUAI • 50 addresses
08/13/2026, 3:26:29 P.M.
-1 min
18 tx
10,286.35 QUAI • 33 addresses
08/13/2026, 3:25:16 P.M.
-2 min
38 tx
46,781.85 QUAI • 49 addresses
08/13/2026, 3:23:53 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
2 QUAI • 18 addresses
08/13/2026, 3:27:50 P.M.
-3 min
Best candidate12 tx
1,715,374.55 QUAI • 27 addresses
08/13/2026, 3:22:42 P.M.
+3 min
3 tx
4,746.9 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/13/2026, 3:29:11 P.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/13/2026, 3:21:23 P.M.
+5 min
1 tx
355.87 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/13/2026, 3:30:30 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
388.42 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 3:26:03 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x001D0aceDa0c0C7eF3B516CD0102129e2A1F5b93
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
9 transactions
371.95 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 3:26:19 P.M.
From: 0x000f199409379202d1F55Ca5ce1442D80c698156
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x004c0029472877b0fbce49cf109d5d025cc3fa1c75994849635b109090d1f3ee
355.52 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 3:26:19 P.M.
From: 0x000d3A66c0f0faBA1D5D5EdDb3BC175E4dF4d7FC
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x003100061a8244cc0aef7581f2d7a5a610e1ddb9380a7c05c46fbd07f2c91c3c
350.3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 3:26:03 P.M.
From: 0x005eF5d5DC3ebF571BFAe01D957034dBE629A8E7
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00410019336b0e8bc69682deb7d30f7e842836d254b2fc1aa15b7bf6dce70386
367.26 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 3:26:03 P.M.
From: 0x004076e55e4c01e4866EE0a79cc5937A0Dc726A5
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x007b004e3489f7cf32e2764aded0ca9086230b0620d40d3463cad2910a6abefd
388.42 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 3:26:03 P.M.
From: 0x001D0aceDa0c0C7eF3B516CD0102129e2A1F5b93
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0046000cee5d8a2dd06a02f24e6db595d150b55fcf113ef4c0df2fc2b9b0221b
347.91 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 3:26:03 P.M.
From: 0x002773d48b4A834547e1339Aede3B9878b8F765D
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0057004452a1d21a8efff518c75645182ca52ef045e49e26ab30ab56ee6f2cc1
386.48 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 3:26:03 P.M.
From: 0x001E385793e13937a926438982110d7052f00f62
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00400050be6035c0e9f2c2aadfc7bf8b69d4d21314510b6694142297f63636df
358.74 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 3:26:03 P.M.
From: 0x003BdABB9346516e60d508C7116B498172Fe92F7
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0060006d26fff865a24d03fc91625d30f8d3c2e7a3db09a3a374b6e42f8891b8
361.72 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 3:26:03 P.M.
From: 0x0014e8b32A212DF7ae5543F0B95bb6ae6dE24809
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0070002257b08742a3b73890f685f1e7e8017566e5d7aadc3269c8d420d00890