Spike bucket
08/13/2026, 3:23:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/13/2026, 3:23:00 P.M. to 08/13/2026, 3:24:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
17% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 8,075.18
Unexplained QUAI: 38,706.67
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 11% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
38
Observable rows
11
28.9% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
49
Asset volume
46,781.85 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x00418F8526484015C9cd5683D20DCC56F362FA48.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 46782 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 32
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x00418F8526484015C9cd5683D20DCC56F362FA48.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 11 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/13/2026, 3:23:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (83% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 11 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (17%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
Gate.io hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
8,075.18 QUAI across 11 visible rows
Known watch context
0x00418F8526484015C9cd5683D20DCC56F362FA48
Net sender
Unknown type
855.68 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0038F100cDd3e9Fb74f518FC9D0C19cB35e5457b
Net sender
Unknown type
824.7 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005a0701d5111De546C5614A04C8eA96EB2CCA0D
Net sender
Unknown type
784.16 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00239812dAd1583Bf5C81326E3448F273f6628f2
Net sender
Unknown type
764.91 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 8,075.18 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate12 tx
1,715,374.55 QUAI • 27 addresses
08/13/2026, 3:22:42 P.M.
+1 min
38 tx
46,781.85 QUAI • 49 addresses
08/13/2026, 3:23:53 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/13/2026, 3:21:23 P.M.
+2 min
18 tx
10,286.35 QUAI • 33 addresses
08/13/2026, 3:25:16 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
2 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/13/2026, 3:20:04 P.M.
+3 min
38 tx
16,081.89 QUAI • 50 addresses
08/13/2026, 3:26:29 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/13/2026, 3:18:45 P.M.
+5 min
1 tx
2 QUAI • 18 addresses
08/13/2026, 3:27:50 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
855.68 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 3:23:10 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00418F8526484015C9cd5683D20DCC56F362FA48
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
11 transactions
764.91 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 3:23:36 P.M.
From: 0x00239812dAd1583Bf5C81326E3448F273f6628f2
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x000d00114d7e11e2e8c5d9bb3f55417f99ecabf031d4283df9342a6dd68d63ba
707.15 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 3:23:36 P.M.
From: 0x000431e64aa6008591d75B65583d646Ecd5C911a
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00740019d328a6c549de18c5d6e37f57358fdceaf950128a0c65e52e9ee5f938
656.88 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 3:23:36 P.M.
From: 0x00323970A6d1ee5999ba0cF7f3c39a7ad26f96e6
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00770058277a2b2c7d3fddbc5779b1b1c7ebf35c28c02adc948207a3794e8057
824.7 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 3:23:36 P.M.
From: 0x0038F100cDd3e9Fb74f518FC9D0C19cB35e5457b
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x000b00367fcf2c99b7f5afc74fb45aa4be2344de4204046da9cb3341b573fa25
715.95 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 3:23:36 P.M.
From: 0x000f5c2d2500087d3e26357402170042be0367f5
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x002200330723a907d7851a0c2d3c6b1e41421e3e98f78076a211bd996539d21f
648.23 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 3:23:36 P.M.
From: 0x007fdab43e62412a74b95597c80999ebf86811Ed
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00650017759c5081afcbabc69f6a5b6cf0340f714fd0bf3eaf6d3f641234bf14
669.54 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 3:23:36 P.M.
From: 0x007F95f6B1De175cf3ab31eDD47C98CC5dDB3cC4
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x000c0003d4eab5bef0c502204829177d0d5a41d02165c0b48deea9cbb57c1fd5
751.89 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 3:23:36 P.M.
From: 0x003337fCEEadb0C33A1F2A658ffAae267459c3Eb
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0068001edc5954b07a27335f0a2dcb0fef63d87c4ebefc5c25581c17cb5777e4
696.1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 3:23:36 P.M.
From: 0x007af0B1Bd97F84eD15AfED640830bBd3348A0f0
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x001e0023f4f3f4c4d73ae3391b080be8461efbc31913b4b65a9a84041754b5e5
784.16 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 3:23:10 P.M.
From: 0x005a0701d5111De546C5614A04C8eA96EB2CCA0D
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0026000def53818227ab700c85404ba6075251effdb38e840abc3931e5272b2d
855.68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 3:23:10 P.M.
From: 0x00418F8526484015C9cd5683D20DCC56F362FA48
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0069001c1742a3f953e92895174478c371a15367aa09949d8334f5655add82e0