Spike bucket
08/13/2026, 3:12:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/13/2026, 3:12:00 P.M. to 08/13/2026, 3:13:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
24% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 829.42
Unexplained QUAI: 2,655.34
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 96% of explained volume
Relative context
2.2x above local average
2.6x previous minute
4.2x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
17
Asset volume
3,484.76 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007AE3C1367C6ECeEc65d243b890C7C97b6504D0 • 0x00379338c4faD899C48f3c827DEC4Eb47a9b832e.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 3485 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007AE3C1367C6ECeEc65d243b890C7C97b6504D0 • 0x00379338c4faD899C48f3c827DEC4Eb47a9b832e.
0x000eF1ed645F16Fb1388C764Ae4f05e35625B3A6 -> 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/13/2026, 3:12:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (76% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (24%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x007AE3C1367C6ECeEc65d243b890C7C97b6504D0
Net sender
Unknown type
797 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00379338c4faD899C48f3c827DEC4Eb47a9b832e
Net receiver
Unknown type
797 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0059d5F0Cd5b9dCdE86218E8A7867BA2a971B0FB
Net receiver
Unknown type
28.41 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x005D37074e104eCa7dD007277d0B1517e73e696D
Net sender
Unknown type
18.61 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003928926EE8d4ba6fb50d79FfBb984b8BE63c13
Net sender
Unknown type
9.8 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x000eF1ed645F16Fb1388C764Ae4f05e35625B3A6 → 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
2 repeated flows • 2.67 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
3,484.76 QUAI • 17 addresses
08/13/2026, 3:12:06 P.M.
-1 min
19 tx
1,318.13 QUAI • 33 addresses
08/13/2026, 3:10:47 P.M.
+1 min
6 tx
829.42 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/13/2026, 3:13:25 P.M.
-3 min
10 tx
450.71 QUAI • 22 addresses
08/13/2026, 3:09:27 P.M.
+3 min
Best candidate17 tx
4,587.65 QUAI • 28 addresses
08/13/2026, 3:14:45 P.M.
-4 min
53 tx
1,709.01 QUAI • 67 addresses
08/13/2026, 3:08:08 P.M.
+4 min
4 tx
5.35 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/13/2026, 3:16:04 P.M.
-5 min
2 tx
367.58 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/13/2026, 3:06:47 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
797 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 3:12:37 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x007AE3C1367C6ECeEc65d243b890C7C97b6504D0
To: 0x00379338c4faD899C48f3c827DEC4Eb47a9b832e
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
1.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 3:12:52 P.M.
From: 0x000eF1ed645F16Fb1388C764Ae4f05e35625B3A6
To: 0x006751Bec530bbeDc67aCA74911396c6cA8C6bd3
Tx: 0x005d006b4ed408dd8be032187edcbb8c5e8f9757c8ca4a86df32c3f8d4789605
9.8 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 3:12:52 P.M.
From: 0x003928926EE8d4ba6fb50d79FfBb984b8BE63c13
To: 0x0059d5F0Cd5b9dCdE86218E8A7867BA2a971B0FB
Tx: 0x001f00567542afe2d7beed7f23f12ae138ca69cd36bd3ce62de89ff7b5eb4408
797 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 3:12:37 P.M.
From: 0x007AE3C1367C6ECeEc65d243b890C7C97b6504D0
To: 0x00379338c4faD899C48f3c827DEC4Eb47a9b832e
Tx: 0x00230066e5fa26a194cbd262865a86327309a4392de4355e98f9d101187d6fa4
1.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 3:12:37 P.M.
From: 0x000eF1ed645F16Fb1388C764Ae4f05e35625B3A6
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x00680008611c676fd6feacb5e60054ab95821052aba61403f4f2f1ba697d6b57
1.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 3:12:37 P.M.
From: 0x000eF1ed645F16Fb1388C764Ae4f05e35625B3A6
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x00680028237c08c31832905a2603638870ab1db39319e30b145c44c4febd24d5
18.61 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 3:12:37 P.M.
From: 0x005D37074e104eCa7dD007277d0B1517e73e696D
To: 0x0059d5F0Cd5b9dCdE86218E8A7867BA2a971B0FB
Tx: 0x0034000c6fbe49d4709f363c0ad48f760837940de4516d45ed91b5e052f5a1cc