Spike bucket
08/13/2026, 3:10:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/13/2026, 3:10:00 P.M. to 08/13/2026, 3:11:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
10% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 136.24
Unexplained QUAI: 1,181.89
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 98% of explained volume
Relative context
0.7x above local average
2.9x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
19
Observable rows
3
15.8% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
33
Asset volume
1,318.13 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c • 0x0059d5F0Cd5b9dCdE86218E8A7867BA2a971B0FB.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 1318 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c • 0x0059d5F0Cd5b9dCdE86218E8A7867BA2a971B0FB.
0x000eF1ed645F16Fb1388C764Ae4f05e35625B3A6 -> 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/13/2026, 3:10:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (90% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (10%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
Net sender
Unknown type
133.57 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0059d5F0Cd5b9dCdE86218E8A7867BA2a971B0FB
Net receiver
Unknown type
133.57 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000eF1ed645F16Fb1388C764Ae4f05e35625B3A6
Net sender
Unknown type
2.67 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Net receiver
Unknown type
2.67 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x000eF1ed645F16Fb1388C764Ae4f05e35625B3A6 → 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
2 repeated flows • 2.67 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
10 tx
450.71 QUAI • 22 addresses
08/13/2026, 3:09:27 P.M.
+1 min
19 tx
1,318.13 QUAI • 33 addresses
08/13/2026, 3:10:47 P.M.
-2 min
53 tx
1,709.01 QUAI • 67 addresses
08/13/2026, 3:08:08 P.M.
+2 min
3 tx
3,484.76 QUAI • 17 addresses
08/13/2026, 3:12:06 P.M.
-3 min
2 tx
367.58 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/13/2026, 3:06:47 P.M.
+3 min
6 tx
829.42 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/13/2026, 3:13:25 P.M.
-5 min
51 tx
2,380.29 QUAI • 63 addresses
08/13/2026, 3:05:28 P.M.
+5 min
Best candidate17 tx
4,587.65 QUAI • 28 addresses
08/13/2026, 3:14:45 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
133.57 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 3:10:21 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x0059d5F0Cd5b9dCdE86218E8A7867BA2a971B0FB
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
1.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 3:10:54 P.M.
From: 0x000eF1ed645F16Fb1388C764Ae4f05e35625B3A6
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x007600086d1372e7722f62e05ce0b3c39ed856da69420abcdb7e550245cf786c
1.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 3:10:46 P.M.
From: 0x000eF1ed645F16Fb1388C764Ae4f05e35625B3A6
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x007d004de59d531442b83696ed3d01b3bb93267c5f687654a801ef0acdf005de
133.57 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 3:10:21 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x0059d5F0Cd5b9dCdE86218E8A7867BA2a971B0FB
Tx: 0x001500499be5f6d5a2aca494c53adf6172f4f88b3ecb621429ad1ef859b6d888