Spike bucket
08/13/2026, 2:59:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/13/2026, 2:59:00 P.M. to 08/13/2026, 3:00:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 712.38
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 50% of explained volume
Relative context
0.4x above local average
1.0x previous minute
0.5x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
15
Asset volume
356.19 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c • 0x0059d5F0Cd5b9dCdE86218E8A7867BA2a971B0FB.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 356 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c • 0x0059d5F0Cd5b9dCdE86218E8A7867BA2a971B0FB.
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c -> 0x0059d5F0Cd5b9dCdE86218E8A7867BA2a971B0FB (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/13/2026, 2:59:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
Net sender
Unknown type
712.38 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0059d5F0Cd5b9dCdE86218E8A7867BA2a971B0FB
Net receiver
Unknown type
712.38 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c → 0x0059d5F0Cd5b9dCdE86218E8A7867BA2a971B0FB
2 repeated flows • 712.38 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
356.19 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/13/2026, 2:59:02 P.M.
-1 min
1 tx
356.19 QUAI • 17 addresses
08/13/2026, 2:57:43 P.M.
+1 min
2 tx
712.38 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/13/2026, 3:00:20 P.M.
-3 min
Best candidate1 tx
4,999.66 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/13/2026, 2:56:22 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/13/2026, 3:01:39 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/13/2026, 2:55:04 P.M.
+4 min
2 tx
667.85 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/13/2026, 3:02:58 P.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
08/13/2026, 2:53:45 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
356.19 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 2:59:21 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x0059d5F0Cd5b9dCdE86218E8A7867BA2a971B0FB
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
356.19 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 2:59:21 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x0059d5F0Cd5b9dCdE86218E8A7867BA2a971B0FB
Tx: 0x004f003c9685c558f3283e6255e6970c6c3d02fcb480767e8f18e632e456bfd7
356.19 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 2:59:00 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x0059d5F0Cd5b9dCdE86218E8A7867BA2a971B0FB
Tx: 0x001a0020d067b109c3ea5606cc5494b9377f0700251ca79b6e9d60770164065b