Spike bucket
08/13/2026, 1:25:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/13/2026, 1:25:00 P.M. to 08/13/2026, 1:26:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
63% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 222.62
Unexplained QUAI: 133.57
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 60% of explained volume
Relative context
1.5x above local average
1.1x previous minute
1.6x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
14
Asset volume
356.19 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c • 0x003928926EE8d4ba6fb50d79FfBb984b8BE63c13.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 356 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c • 0x003928926EE8d4ba6fb50d79FfBb984b8BE63c13.
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c -> 0x003928926EE8d4ba6fb50d79FfBb984b8BE63c13 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 08/13/2026, 1:25:00 P.M.
Coverage gap moderate (37% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
Net sender
Unknown type
222.62 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x003928926EE8d4ba6fb50d79FfBb984b8BE63c13
Net receiver
Unknown type
222.62 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c → 0x003928926EE8d4ba6fb50d79FfBb984b8BE63c13
2 repeated flows • 222.62 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
356.19 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/13/2026, 1:25:11 P.M.
-1 min
1 tx
311.67 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/13/2026, 1:24:01 P.M.
+1 min
2 tx
222.62 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/13/2026, 1:26:22 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 7 addresses
08/13/2026, 1:22:50 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/13/2026, 1:21:40 P.M.
+3 min
Best candidate1 tx
1,014.28 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/13/2026, 1:27:32 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/13/2026, 1:28:43 P.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
08/13/2026, 1:20:27 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
133.57 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 1:25:13 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x003928926EE8d4ba6fb50d79FfBb984b8BE63c13
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
89.05 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 1:25:45 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x003928926EE8d4ba6fb50d79FfBb984b8BE63c13
Tx: 0x0051001d6a65a5d3ecf55760b23ec9e735346ff8b3e4a1f96377d3722a33e8d0
133.57 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 1:25:13 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x003928926EE8d4ba6fb50d79FfBb984b8BE63c13
Tx: 0x0005002f627b09ebf7eb84fabbc66bfcb48eab5a4bf2871e27f967617182b2ef
