Spike bucket
08/13/2026, 9:13:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/13/2026, 9:13:00 A.M. to 08/13/2026, 9:14:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,852.41
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 66% of explained volume
Relative context
2.4x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
20
Asset volume
1,852.41 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0027775C4419aFe51aaDb209Acdc8483023Be1bf.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 1852 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0027775C4419aFe51aaDb209Acdc8483023Be1bf.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/13/2026, 9:13:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
1,852.41 QUAI across 5 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0027775C4419aFe51aaDb209Acdc8483023Be1bf
Net sender
Unknown type
1,218.65 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007de96950a40303EA94BCfb04e223A095a7eb36
Net sender
Unknown type
259.18 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00702f3A87e8dd0C5F674392DF7DCB42531CAB02
Net sender
Unknown type
149.59 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF
Net sender
Unknown type
113.75 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 1,852.41 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
13.63 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/13/2026, 9:12:35 A.M.
+1 min
5 tx
1,852.41 QUAI • 20 addresses
08/13/2026, 9:13:46 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/13/2026, 9:11:24 A.M.
+2 min
Best candidate1 tx
2,999 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/13/2026, 9:14:57 A.M.
-3 min
1 tx
99.72 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/13/2026, 9:10:14 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/13/2026, 9:16:08 A.M.
-4 min
32 tx
1,202.94 QUAI • 43 addresses
08/13/2026, 9:09:02 A.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/13/2026, 9:17:19 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,218.65 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 9:13:15 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0027775C4419aFe51aaDb209Acdc8483023Be1bf
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
149.59 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 9:13:15 A.M.
From: 0x00702f3A87e8dd0C5F674392DF7DCB42531CAB02
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00780057f4d6719c5d511569435186606ebdbda91ebabe1f4aa19ea15816bc72
259.18 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 9:13:15 A.M.
From: 0x007de96950a40303EA94BCfb04e223A095a7eb36
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001000634a6d41782db59750e1f98ac8f5a208f3c73061c7c5bc12775ab30a5c
113.75 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 9:13:15 A.M.
From: 0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001c004567521d54a7073396090b235a3fc41174431729297e07d7472062644a
111.24 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 9:13:15 A.M.
From: 0x005E8fC2D987eab31887d75650ccbD041A88Dc7b
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x000200209e61062fb05566ecd995bd84ba91acdb59a4fc257d84bf96befe8c3e
1,218.65 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 9:13:15 A.M.
From: 0x0027775C4419aFe51aaDb209Acdc8483023Be1bf
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00700050963f4d115e834ac4f4bbb13a0d11a39b261408ade7a72deb8bf13b6b