Spike bucket
08/13/2026, 7:14:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/13/2026, 7:14:00 A.M. to 08/13/2026, 7:15:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 492.83
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 64% of explained volume
Relative context
0.9x above local average
2.0x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
10
Asset volume
179.21 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c • 0x00398180aaC59147182f677AfAa6748689190B78.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 179 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c • 0x00398180aaC59147182f677AfAa6748689190B78.
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c -> 0x00398180aaC59147182f677AfAa6748689190B78 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/13/2026, 7:14:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
Net sender
Unknown type
492.83 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00398180aaC59147182f677AfAa6748689190B78
Net receiver
Unknown type
492.83 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c → 0x00398180aaC59147182f677AfAa6748689190B78
2 repeated flows • 492.83 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
1 tx
89.77 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/13/2026, 7:13:24 A.M.
+1 min
1 tx
179.21 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/13/2026, 7:14:34 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/13/2026, 7:12:14 A.M.
+2 min
1 tx
313.62 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/13/2026, 7:15:44 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/13/2026, 7:11:02 A.M.
+3 min
Best candidate1 tx
665.09 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/13/2026, 7:16:54 A.M.
-4 min
1 tx
8.13 QUAI • 7 addresses
08/13/2026, 7:09:51 A.M.
+4 min
2 tx
310.3 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/13/2026, 7:18:04 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
313.62 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 7:14:38 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x00398180aaC59147182f677AfAa6748689190B78
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
313.62 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 7:14:38 A.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x00398180aaC59147182f677AfAa6748689190B78
Tx: 0x001e004c50d541a833dc636c512a078419e49c21354df31741b524c877d5e61c
179.21 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 7:14:09 A.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x00398180aaC59147182f677AfAa6748689190B78
Tx: 0x0014002b3717e0a3752fe97b80fdcd7256c0a5c7a74ef46b29c36ac8e4d998df
