Spike bucket
08/13/2026, 6:05:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/13/2026, 6:05:00 A.M. to 08/13/2026, 6:06:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
88% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 2,688.15
Unexplained QUAI: 376.76
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 43% of explained volume
Relative context
0.9x above local average
0.7x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
51
Observable rows
6
11.8% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
59
Asset volume
3,064.91 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1 • 0x003e6d9CaF8bB49fa74608906D805fE54e9B20BA.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + medium confidence + 3065 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1 • 0x003e6d9CaF8bB49fa74608906D805fE54e9B20BA.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/13/2026, 6:05:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is miner pool (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize miner distribution/accumulation checks before mixed-flow hypotheses.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate miner pool context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies miner pool context.
Top actors in this event
K1 Mining pool
Net sender
Miner pool
1,527.97 QUAI across 5 visible rows
Known watch context
0x003e6d9CaF8bB49fa74608906D805fE54e9B20BA
Net sender
Unknown type
1,160.18 QUAI across 1 visible row
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
1,160.18 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x002595D92c6837721F8eeA60130638B3c0AB1625
Net receiver
Unknown type
565.24 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0023593748F8a384c8749ACfAC6e317192DB0f35
Net receiver
Unknown type
368.56 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 1,160.18 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
51 tx
3,064.91 QUAI • 59 addresses
08/13/2026, 6:05:05 A.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/13/2026, 6:03:54 A.M.
+1 min
56 tx
4,506.28 QUAI • 66 addresses
08/13/2026, 6:06:16 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/13/2026, 6:02:43 A.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/13/2026, 6:07:29 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
08/13/2026, 6:01:33 A.M.
+4 min
Best candidate19 tx
20,770.66 QUAI • 29 addresses
08/13/2026, 6:08:41 A.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 6 addresses
08/13/2026, 6:00:23 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,160.18 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 6:05:57 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x003e6d9CaF8bB49fa74608906D805fE54e9B20BA
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
1,160.18 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 6:05:57 A.M.
From: 0x003e6d9CaF8bB49fa74608906D805fE54e9B20BA
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0030002d283705b4494b07fa1275f67357fff227e0333fe4f7648aebcff064c4
368.56 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 6:05:18 A.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x0023593748F8a384c8749ACfAC6e317192DB0f35
Tx: 0x00420045c16e115e1e355d4c422d99cf5100f26a4329e0b3fa7de3d6d8d63be3
351.15 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 6:05:18 A.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x0039D4bF31CdAdD166F3c1c1E9f3a2B03A38aD66
Tx: 0x00310017d9c0cedca4a2686d10d898439b9f1398ebf8787b18339a1b54cc0cc5
565.24 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 6:05:18 A.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x002595D92c6837721F8eeA60130638B3c0AB1625
Tx: 0x0076003066f9f283ae09fcfe1ce47b065c4d064e2ee9a34ce7a315cb369cdcf6
141.61 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 6:05:18 A.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x003946bA3f88eDabc64746C90672a1Aa3BAf6176
Tx: 0x00580013f6e20722027ea061afcc358d6a9d8fede06f5342dd5ff04b6d4af6f7
101.42 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 6:05:18 A.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x000aBEC827E09e574B246D571de893758D3d831B
Tx: 0x0042004e8f18fe6a974555ff7e9b3a101da4e4d820043cded7c180ca62afc414
