Spike bucket
08/13/2026, 4:16:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/13/2026, 4:16:00 A.M. to 08/13/2026, 4:17:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 30,143.27
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 66% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
9
Asset volume
0 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81 • 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 0 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81 • 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/13/2026, 4:16:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
Net sender
Unknown type
19,999.08 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Net receiver
Unknown type
19,999.08 QUAI across 1 visible row
Gate.io hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
8,225.08 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x003b9aDC47853F64Dee2174861DE67c57bB872DB
Net receiver
Unknown type
8,225.08 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00243961c8985D32eae7aba72194D252494f4184
Net sender
Unknown type
1,919.1 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 8,225.08 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
1 tx
1,920 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/13/2026, 4:15:28 A.M.
+1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/13/2026, 4:16:46 A.M.
-2 min
Best candidate3 tx
105,493.85 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/13/2026, 4:14:09 A.M.
+2 min
3 tx
30,143.27 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/13/2026, 4:18:04 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/13/2026, 4:12:50 A.M.
+3 min
1 tx
104,935.63 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/13/2026, 4:19:23 A.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/13/2026, 4:11:30 A.M.
+5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/13/2026, 4:20:41 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,999.08 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 4:16:41 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
To: 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
1,919.1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 4:16:41 A.M.
From: 0x00243961c8985D32eae7aba72194D252494f4184
To: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Tx: 0x0075000530d92c047231bbb893895d8285ceee2ceaeee517c81f59f0a5bc9c7d
8,225.08 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 4:16:41 A.M.
From: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
To: 0x003b9aDC47853F64Dee2174861DE67c57bB872DB
Tx: 0x0023003a45e96188d4845fab883c8930f76de6e528fff247973c5fbf0aff7755
19,999.08 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 4:16:41 A.M.
From: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
To: 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Tx: 0x007500476e824879ecdc8753ba33c993a01b2ea6517c7ed850aca7c7f9ce558c