Spike bucket
08/13/2026, 2:56:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/13/2026, 2:56:00 A.M. to 08/13/2026, 2:57:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 15,733.79
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 80% of explained volume
Relative context
1.3x above local average
2.2x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
9
Observable rows
9
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
12
Asset volume
15,733.79 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9 • 0x0063269cEB93A8309D3A25Ea10f6E292539649c1.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 15734 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9 • 0x0063269cEB93A8309D3A25Ea10f6E292539649c1.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/13/2026, 2:56:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Net sender
Unknown type
12,538.11 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0063269cEB93A8309D3A25Ea10f6E292539649c1
Net receiver
Unknown type
12,538.11 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
2,363.67 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x00625f252d5A4780be2505d35a0Db8648700e94D
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,374.66 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
832.02 QUAI across 4 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
7 tx
16,269.99 QUAI • 18 addresses
08/13/2026, 2:55:57 A.M.
-1 min
8 tx
7,132.97 QUAI • 17 addresses
08/13/2026, 2:54:46 A.M.
+1 min
9 tx
15,733.79 QUAI • 19 addresses
08/13/2026, 2:57:15 A.M.
-3 min
Best candidate31 tx
22,581.14 QUAI • 43 addresses
08/13/2026, 2:53:25 A.M.
+3 min
10 tx
13,286.92 QUAI • 18 addresses
08/13/2026, 2:58:34 A.M.
-4 min
8 tx
5,600.54 QUAI • 22 addresses
08/13/2026, 2:52:14 A.M.
+4 min
4 tx
2,432.33 QUAI • 17 addresses
08/13/2026, 2:59:55 A.M.
-5 min
12 tx
11,834.14 QUAI • 25 addresses
08/13/2026, 2:50:53 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
12,538.11 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 2:56:06 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
To: 0x0063269cEB93A8309D3A25Ea10f6E292539649c1
All transfers in this selected minute
9 transactions
77.89 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 2:56:40 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0065bC20Bba8E177ec91e7c682E0687C9cB6F9F1
Tx: 0x007d002edd82353cd84e1d2fcfac09e04aeddfa7b20f3bcd89e28b828ac827f7
467.45 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 2:56:40 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0062c980Ebe67AF14207ea5310c559EE747183A1
Tx: 0x0035003a806d7075fd4687d43ff08ec042dd9a23282f12d615147ac9a5214fc9
463.27 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 2:56:38 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00628BF61B02ba4a9b3C5e3C4d13D53Dc70B8038
Tx: 0x00740002de0e1eeefe26d37f26033fb92faaa0955cc6f2edd99ac22ae7119ea3
219.36 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 2:56:38 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x006507708bd044bBDb3d9584f473AEADa42D7D16
Tx: 0x003f003e943cb9f52ea63830cfaee3c15f342c594f379fdc2486f80bce6ec59e
1,374.66 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 2:56:22 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00625f252d5A4780be2505d35a0Db8648700e94D
Tx: 0x004700488aab7caf56d3f2852ae22229a8b471368fa2be63179d7dd137d65c88
268.8 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 2:56:22 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0064fEb269239F2e79a866B2Ac113F36096E60f7
Tx: 0x005600114861491e3a0313263cc61725ffa20c8b033538e7940a0876d804bfc8
265.96 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 2:56:06 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0064F1C511AcD867CD12b66d07f8F645d0254570
Tx: 0x0070002c18d542f74161989ebfe432d731b68487dce2d92638d528dcf79da78c
58.28 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 2:56:06 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x006200b5Bf4f35f2d793382eC2AFF48a2895a5A7
Tx: 0x000000667f4ae611c8c943276eb4f04be580d0518f44ea5deb2fdbe288a3a1ae
12,538.11 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 2:56:06 A.M.
From: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
To: 0x0063269cEB93A8309D3A25Ea10f6E292539649c1
Tx: 0x004e001e10a8500b15c805b849f48c0073633d15e18228549641c9a6dfb7acf0