Spike bucket
08/13/2026, 2:54:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/13/2026, 2:54:00 A.M. to 08/13/2026, 2:55:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
55% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 3,923.97
Unexplained QUAI: 3,209.01
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 47% of explained volume
Relative context
0.5x above local average
0.3x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
8
Observable rows
7
87.5% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
17
Asset volume
7,132.97 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00624D02961633798A1a9cFa7c0b2210Fa6053fB.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 7133 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 37
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00624D02961633798A1a9cFa7c0b2210Fa6053fB.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 08/13/2026, 2:54:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (45% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (55%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
2,408.57 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x00624D02961633798A1a9cFa7c0b2210Fa6053fB
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,858.46 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
782.39 QUAI across 3 visible rows
StratumX miner
Net sender
Miner wallet
733 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x00169E165598836157b4Bd9E67437EC05A2735Ca
Net receiver
Unknown type
733 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
Best candidate31 tx
22,581.14 QUAI • 43 addresses
08/13/2026, 2:53:25 A.M.
+1 min
8 tx
7,132.97 QUAI • 17 addresses
08/13/2026, 2:54:46 A.M.
-2 min
8 tx
5,600.54 QUAI • 22 addresses
08/13/2026, 2:52:14 A.M.
+2 min
7 tx
16,269.99 QUAI • 18 addresses
08/13/2026, 2:55:57 A.M.
-3 min
12 tx
11,834.14 QUAI • 25 addresses
08/13/2026, 2:50:53 A.M.
+3 min
9 tx
15,733.79 QUAI • 19 addresses
08/13/2026, 2:57:15 A.M.
-4 min
13 tx
15,686.19 QUAI • 24 addresses
08/13/2026, 2:49:34 A.M.
+5 min
10 tx
13,286.92 QUAI • 18 addresses
08/13/2026, 2:58:34 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,858.46 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 2:54:07 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00624D02961633798A1a9cFa7c0b2210Fa6053fB
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
431.7 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 2:54:48 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0060bA5516E993449827998B966326d53DF3BA4D
Tx: 0x0043005eac0518503823dc0a34858689922f2c6d73a948034e3907f22f2cc86d
508.25 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 2:54:48 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00631D43f340A0EC5F247627756fc1288f05Cc1E
Tx: 0x006c001141f4fd1f1ae7900953c62d05eb0bd9f119f0acf255ef9e80b0eac5fc
733 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 2:54:48 A.M.
From: StratumX miner
0x00488f0f9478B351C0820c38cC37c5aac3e54386
Miner wallet
To: 0x00169E165598836157b4Bd9E67437EC05A2735Ca
Tx: 0x0045005159b02912b0abed10504d8ff6e1f018006f97d0ca0d0a1a02fcb71939
41.86 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 2:54:17 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00627Ca48Eb5122B274badc01b1be67E9bde7f1b
Tx: 0x0001001afb408a9b9b5da7681460a3a9be75b01dc88c70e50a385a230255c4e4
118.68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 2:54:17 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00606312eC1D34bA37A74B3600C0638B743cC7e8
Tx: 0x0052004392a0e16e5ee0701354c6080050b3cd216070e37d08d0ad82a22aeebc
232.01 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 2:54:07 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00600BBDc38fe9ee40d5Fc411582EB0295d3dcAA
Tx: 0x0079005918764949061e6a775d716e7dbca00f647fe495415b250c7feec5f3ca
1,858.46 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 2:54:07 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00624D02961633798A1a9cFa7c0b2210Fa6053fB
Tx: 0x0063003a1f3ef02f77882ef381be2e06655fe708531081c42ef2500bbb3fcdb7