Spike bucket
08/13/2026, 2:45:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/13/2026, 2:45:00 A.M. to 08/13/2026, 2:46:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
25% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 3,377.47
Unexplained QUAI: 10,045.45
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 25% of explained volume
Relative context
1.1x above local average
0.4x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
19
Observable rows
11
57.9% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
28
Asset volume
13,422.92 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 13423 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 27
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 11 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/13/2026, 2:45:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (75% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 11 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (25%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
1,675.93 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
1,282.5 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x004CA0901322E92A7730aea20896f588e1980F63
Net receiver
Unknown type
859.97 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004c676bc4BcBB906C7749583764104Ee25aEAAD
Net receiver
Unknown type
599.27 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004bFB9fC645c836F200B60b7D4e3Ac2efde2ac3
Net receiver
Unknown type
471.42 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
Best candidate40 tx
34,473.85 QUAI • 48 addresses
08/13/2026, 2:44:15 A.M.
+1 min
19 tx
13,422.92 QUAI • 28 addresses
08/13/2026, 2:45:36 A.M.
-2 min
18 tx
10,786.2 QUAI • 29 addresses
08/13/2026, 2:43:04 A.M.
+2 min
7 tx
2,968.2 QUAI • 17 addresses
08/13/2026, 2:46:55 A.M.
-3 min
15 tx
6,361.22 QUAI • 27 addresses
08/13/2026, 2:41:45 A.M.
+3 min
6 tx
8,221.33 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/13/2026, 2:48:14 A.M.
-5 min
6 tx
8,563.6 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/13/2026, 2:40:26 A.M.
+5 min
13 tx
15,686.19 QUAI • 24 addresses
08/13/2026, 2:49:34 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
859.97 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 2:45:29 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004CA0901322E92A7730aea20896f588e1980F63
All transfers in this selected minute
11 transactions
599.27 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 2:45:39 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x004c676bc4BcBB906C7749583764104Ee25aEAAD
Tx: 0x003400256f67fdca657b3d1909c578708715f2be2e9d48234c0b1aae1ba8a13f
78.51 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 2:45:39 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004d6A8315C2D567fe944979a836F363a159A547
Tx: 0x006f00051ac59c4ce2bd215c07e872a104b33f0c489acda69c2d33d7bc4ed927
471.42 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 2:45:29 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x004bFB9fC645c836F200B60b7D4e3Ac2efde2ac3
Tx: 0x004d001168a553adb6f74bd6d6502f82d39601b2f46ee04a62a361ca38d89c59
859.97 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 2:45:29 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004CA0901322E92A7730aea20896f588e1980F63
Tx: 0x001c0006ef020f4bb2af3021d18cf478610fbed978167c4c268824cd88c353ed
221.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 2:45:29 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x007c36aFFd5462Bd7aA58D497830Ff9Ed86f5656
Tx: 0x00280075830a61e03bb117f34c1898153decb8a98af0a75f7cfba058cb1133de
103.89 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 2:45:23 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x004bCdE3e02aD0C5c5aC33eF98b864dcC82cD661
Tx: 0x000500068ef30077a3d2fdebf88151d56fea382a4884dd8bd3bbcefa3221bca4
275.25 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 2:45:23 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004c78F7239BB89DE4a2ff39639807e500246ED7
Tx: 0x005400354e5b040cd9db57348650d01fab42d1268476deae75c53855a31fa9d3
87.94 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 2:45:23 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x007C3141e22eFb3D184EBdD4aA039d476fa1DE43
Tx: 0x004e001a79481d35f20534fd58f95d571e33bc88b77ae224d875d5502f36b0b2
110.06 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 2:45:11 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x007A4d520a7eCDe384f6F3FCA494EFDB16DA54C5
Tx: 0x00280065f852497e9d61dfa0f544de3f05c278795cbc9cd4d5caa2652b78ef82
462.21 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 2:45:11 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004c15DF23fC40eAf28a1e79Aa575555177BCc5B
Tx: 0x00500064e2afce739b81070064e9d2c3ec67094962687ff5be5f751bc9c3e4df
107.91 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 2:45:11 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x004bC30F14c509c42a040a76F4CdB040582ddf09
Tx: 0x002f001840221988c18855c0223708cd87bfb3719b2a69dd06ab3cb29498c323
