Spike bucket
08/13/2026, 2:40:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/13/2026, 2:40:00 A.M. to 08/13/2026, 2:41:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
67% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 5,710.22
Unexplained QUAI: 2,853.37
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 31% of explained volume
Relative context
0.7x above local average
2.6x previous minute
1.3x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
12
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
16
Asset volume
8,563.6 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 8564 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 12 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 08/13/2026, 2:40:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (33% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 12 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
2,469.95 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
Net sender
Unknown type
1,951.06 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x0064634a2CfD929752e6DA17f0A2f0C3ee024598
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,772.21 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
1,289.21 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x0041C4936720D07A076B902317FB4ac07dd9f5D5
Net receiver
Unknown type
913.8 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
6 tx
8,563.6 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/13/2026, 2:40:26 A.M.
-1 min
15 tx
3,243.86 QUAI • 28 addresses
08/13/2026, 2:39:07 A.M.
-2 min
10 tx
3,650.86 QUAI • 20 addresses
08/13/2026, 2:37:46 A.M.
+2 min
15 tx
6,361.22 QUAI • 27 addresses
08/13/2026, 2:41:45 A.M.
+3 min
18 tx
10,786.2 QUAI • 29 addresses
08/13/2026, 2:43:04 A.M.
-4 min
33 tx
28,549.21 QUAI • 45 addresses
08/13/2026, 2:36:26 A.M.
+4 min
Best candidate40 tx
34,473.85 QUAI • 48 addresses
08/13/2026, 2:44:15 A.M.
-5 min
3 tx
2,703.02 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/13/2026, 2:35:15 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,772.21 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 2:40:50 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x0064634a2CfD929752e6DA17f0A2f0C3ee024598
All transfers in this selected minute
12 transactions
540.79 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 2:40:55 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0041647eC31612a3f4406eA99d17bfE1E389C4Ac
Tx: 0x0024000858cb7aaa9e1ce9d1c3d61649256fd69d027ae6181ba0fe7c94fc37c3
640.31 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 2:40:55 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00428223e5A122Bc9c05E214B591425c0F681C2D
Tx: 0x007400082a7e3b03b4a9758db4bb27c750e26c6311a6b6d3cd5470c79114591b
65.16 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 2:40:55 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x006736968e9F8B8536E0C0fC983A8a24FBA0b656
Tx: 0x0062004fd2e45105f7d5240a081a0b77ed62d823e69f84cabc22a01f02d64d1e
1,772.21 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 2:40:50 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x0064634a2CfD929752e6DA17f0A2f0C3ee024598
Tx: 0x005300467fa9b0daa202467f5f5b936b93b34d1792609de0866737eb7595bc1b
240.86 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 2:40:50 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0041164B493EABffaa007A24972a145a8D15eE74
Tx: 0x0034002e9d409520df20f97b21b01239f994e1edab6c2e68288dda394350dc6b
59.82 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 2:40:50 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00423DAA82a7620DD963d0030A4A555d6dc72dFD
Tx: 0x00120019798441744e3feccf36213764c7028dc54a3fa6663bbbcae3a0b74551
913.8 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 2:40:45 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0041C4936720D07A076B902317FB4ac07dd9f5D5
Tx: 0x0014001f4e1b71069c233aebe6f804d26c72bd659e130bdf345b7e229ec8b2a3
139.96 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 2:40:45 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x004104ca4e0a37CAdEf26d6bC25202e742F9f5FE
Tx: 0x0021005c9050547a8cc9065cb9ea98406c41f55262d4b51acdc63ba2a8eaf417
63.02 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 2:40:45 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x00630629F9D2a43a0D651F9235a8f1c8E1d3e150
Tx: 0x0052004da5870354817e956fe29cfe9570a53be1b1893ad93d93dfc641b21210
367.6 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 2:40:17 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x004076e55e4c01e4866EE0a79cc5937A0Dc726A5
Tx: 0x0037004fb295dc106ee1d5a7d71d7aca2e226627b8d1537bd21c1074625012d9
856.02 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 2:40:17 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00418F8526484015C9cd5683D20DCC56F362FA48
Tx: 0x004200115c1a1d12d57a8020fe55e4c98abdf144f93827e0ea060e98cd052364
50.68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/13/2026, 2:40:17 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x00600089BbB84520A3fB0849d69fC8dF563e5Bea
Tx: 0x003d00140de07b6aefcb38decbf0fcb4fdbabae5d5a2a1413f1a9412204aa515